NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	8.7 [170]		MVP	Jeff Green (BKN): +38.1%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	6.6 [278]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -28.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24	0.03	0.20	0.00	5	60%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.01	0.02	11	81%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	-0.00	13	73%	0.31	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	10	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.08	0.00	14	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09
Julius Randle	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.28	-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	19	43%	-0.08	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.38	0.38	0.04	0.34	-0.01	15	53%	0.42	2	-0.04	13	69%	0.06
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.07	0.03	28	66%	0.32	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Alize Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.09	0.01	11	73%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Nicolas Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Chiozza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	0.2	24.4	15.3	25.4	2.4	39.4	134.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -50.5%

BKN +43.1%

BKN +39.5%

BKN +14.1%

BKN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.4	112.0	114.0	111.3
season	15.2	14.1		109.2	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.6		111.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.2	14.2	14.0	14.4
BKN	14.4	15.8	11.1	17.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	50	49	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	12.8	15.9	-3.08	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Immanuel Quickley	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-8	14	16.2	13.8	2.43	16.3	13.8	2.52
Reggie Bullock	67	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-9	16	13.2	16.8	-3.64	14.7	13.9	0.80
Obi Toppin	18	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	17.9	13.6	4.28	15.2	14.2	0.98
Taj Gibson	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	1	-4	14.7	14.0	0.68	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Nerlens Noel	45	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	0	-2	14.0	14.7	-0.69	15.1	13.8	1.21
RJ Barrett	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	1	-4	13.6	16.5	-2.88	13.4	17.1	-3.69
Julius Randle	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-2	2	13.6	17.9	-4.28	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Derrick Rose	49	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	6	-14	16.2	12.6	3.54	14.4	14.4	0.00
Alec Burks	38	38	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	16.5	13.1	3.42	14.7	14.2	0.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	1	0	14.2	14.8	-0.52	14.5	14.2	0.26
Alize Johnson	34	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-9	20	14.2	14.5	-0.32	17.2	13.0	4.27
Joe Harris	70	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	15.3	12.4	2.89	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Chris Chiozza	25	25	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.03	12	-10	22	13.1	14.9	-1.79	16.0	13.8	2.21
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	-5	12	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Jeff Green	78	79	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	4	-6	13.8	16.7	-2.90	13.6	17.4	-3.80
Kyrie Irving	77	77	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.35	-5	7	-12	14.9	12.7	2.30	13.9	16.0	-2.10
Nicolas Claxton	35	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	0	2	13.9	14.7	-0.78	15.7	13.7	1.97
James Harden	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	15.1	14.4	0.77	16.7	14.2	2.51
Bruce Brown	48	48	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.24	-20	22	-42	14.4	14.4	-0.05	12.2	16.4	-4.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 74, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.91,1	92.6%
PHI 82, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.3%
POR 98, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.98,1,1	92.1%