NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	7.2 [367]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +17.8%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	7.8 [280]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -21.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	25	56%	0.20	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	12	71%	0.15	5	-0.12	11	64%	-0.04
Jeff McInnis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	-0.04	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Qyntel Woods	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	11	20%	-0.18	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	20	58%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	11	74%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	19	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	44%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	26.0	15.7	22.5	2.5	37.2	128.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.9%

DAL +12.5%

DAL +8.5%

DAL +7.6%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.7	111.4	122.1	100.5
season	17.1	14.6		101.5	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.4	18.0	16.8	17.0	17.3
DAL	16.9	15.5	13.8	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Stepania	13	12	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-17	27	14.4	17.8	-3.40	17.4	15.5	1.88
Bonzi Wells	50	50	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-8	9	18.0	16.4	1.57	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	23	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-9	11	13.6	18.6	-5.03	16.8	15.5	1.37
Matt Carroll	29	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.0	17.9	-1.86	14.7	16.3	-1.66
Rasheed Wallace	84	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	17.7	8.7	8.94	15.8	15.3	0.49
Jeff McInnis	48	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-6	5	16.4	18.3	-1.86	16.1	15.4	0.71
Zach Randolph	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	17.5	16.3	1.19	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Dale Davis	55	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	10	-27	18.8	14.8	3.99	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Damon Stoudamire	64	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	6	-19	17.8	15.8	2.05	15.5	16.8	-1.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	71	71	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.19	22	-15	37	15.2	18.5	-3.31	17.9	14.5	3.41
Antawn Jamison	59	62	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-7	21	15.3	16.8	-1.48	17.6	16.5	1.11
Michael Finley	77	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-4	15	15.8	15.7	0.15	17.7	13.4	4.30
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-2	11	16.2	14.2	2.07	17.6	16.0	1.60
Eduardo Najera	27	29	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	6	-5	15.8	15.8	0.02	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Antoine Walker	71	73	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	15.8	15.8	0.00	17.2	17.7	-0.46
Josh Howard	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	11	-15	15.7	15.8	-0.15	13.4	17.7	-4.30
Danny Fortson	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	15.7	15.8	-0.12	16.3	17.8	-1.53
Travis Best	15	17	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.10	-15	22	-37	18.5	15.2	3.31	14.5	17.9	-3.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.38,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, NYK 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.8,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
BOS 107, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.2%
PHI 82, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.1%