NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	5.5 [626]		MVP	Grayson Allen (MEM): +17.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	1.1 [961]		LVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): -9.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	7	86%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	14	73%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.02	0.06	25	53%	0.06	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jaylen Nowell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	7	107%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.06	0.05	10	70%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	63%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	55%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	7	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.00	13	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.5	15.3	27.5	2.4	26.5	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.6%

MIN -1.1%

MEM +16.3%

MEM +5.9%

MEM +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	14.4	106.9	120.0	111.3
season	14.1	14.0		108.7	111.2
opponent	14.5	14.0		110.4	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	14.2	18.3	12.1	14.8
MEM	12.4	12.9	13.6	16.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarred Vanderbilt	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	8.4	15.4	-6.96	21.2	13.1	8.08
Jake Layman	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	8.4	15.4	-6.96	21.2	13.1	8.08
Jarrett Culver	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	7.0	15.5	-8.45	20.7	13.4	7.36
Jordan McLaughlin	70	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-6	0	15.1	14.0	1.13	13.9	13.7	0.19
Anthony Edwards	63	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-7	2	15.7	13.2	2.52	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Naz Reid	48	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-14	16	15.5	14.2	1.33	13.7	14.0	-0.28
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-1	-10	15.6	13.0	2.62	13.9	13.8	0.16
Jaden McDaniels	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	0	-12	14.0	15.4	-1.31	13.7	14.0	-0.38
Josh Okogie	41	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-9	6	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.1	13.7	0.35
Jaylen Nowell	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	3	-18	15.5	14.2	1.31	12.3	15.1	-2.79
Malik Beasley	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	6	-24	15.5	13.7	1.79	13.4	14.5	-1.13
Juancho Hernangomez	37	35	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	4	-20	14.1	15.2	-1.02	12.2	14.8	-2.57

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Bane	40	40	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.06	23	-11	34	11.8	15.2	-3.45	15.7	14.2	1.48
Tyus Jones	43	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	13.8	13.9	-0.06	12.7	16.4	-3.76
De'Anthony Melton	52	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-5	22	13.2	14.6	-1.49	15.2	14.4	0.78
Brandon Clarke	52	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	-6	24	12.7	15.1	-2.45	15.3	14.2	1.11
Jonas Valanciunas	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	-3	18	14.3	13.5	0.72	15.4	14.2	1.20
Xavier Tillman	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	7	-2	12.5	15.1	-2.65	15.5	14.2	1.28
Kyle Anderson	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	10	-8	14.2	13.6	0.55	15.6	14.2	1.39
Ja Morant	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	12	-12	13.9	13.8	0.06	16.4	12.7	3.76
Dillon Brooks	49	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	14.0	13.7	0.33	15.4	14.2	1.20
John Konchar	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.7	13.4	7.36	7.0	15.5	-8.45
Sean McDermott	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.7	13.4	7.36	7.0	15.5	-8.45
Jontay Porter	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.7	13.4	7.36	7.0	15.5	-8.45
Killian Tillie	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	20.7	13.4	7.36	7.0	15.5	-8.45
Grayson Allen	45	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	14	-16	14.2	13.6	0.64	15.6	14.1	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
ORL 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
LAC 99, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%