inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 81 Excitement5.0 [848] MVPAl Horford (ATL): +15.5%
Atlanta Hawks 91 Comeback1.3 [594] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -15.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.01457%0.0600.00683%0.01
Gilbert Arenas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.08-0.00-0.091136%0.022-0.02683%0.02
Brandon Bass-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.031248%-0.0100.003100%0.02
Jason Richardson-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03850%-0.0100.002100%0.00
JJ Redick-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01444%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Jameer Nelson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.08-0.010.111167%0.022-0.055100%0.01
Quentin Richardson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.011447%0.046-0.161258%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.040.031563%0.1600.00850%-0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.030.08-0.041358%0.172-0.0200%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03857%0.0200.00560%0.01
Jason Collins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01456%0.041-0.031100%0.00
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04333%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01325%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.011844%-0.045-0.11367%-0.01
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011433%-0.093-0.06862%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.334.516.527.52.440.3151.8
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +34.2%
ORL -8.6%
ATL +18.3%
ATL +1.4%
ATL +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLATLNBAORLATLNBA
this game13.817.315.587.198.9105.7
season15.216.5106.3104.0
opponent15.516.2105.1101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.714.314.111.213.8
ATL15.616.318.618.817.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass6259-0.08-0.420.35-0.256-162213.115.2-2.0218.215.82.37
Quentin Richardson3737-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-101013.913.80.1217.217.4-0.20
Jameer Nelson6061-0.22-0.280.06-0.16-2-8613.015.2-2.1617.816.41.43
Gilbert Arenas5252-0.23-0.280.05-0.251-111213.314.5-1.2017.117.6-0.47
JJ Redick2223-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-1-815.313.41.9115.218.0-2.83
Malik Allen2426-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-100-1017.212.74.5114.018.6-4.60
Hedo Turkoglu6866-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-1-813.714.1-0.4117.616.61.06
Jason Richardson5958-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.08-122-1413.714.1-0.4317.616.90.77
Dwight Howard8178-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-155-2014.012.41.6117.814.92.84

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson72730.480.020.450.0116-62217.715.91.8413.714.1-0.42
Mike Bibby73770.460.040.410.0713-31618.114.53.6113.615.0-1.43
Marvin Williams52510.460.040.410.2282617.017.8-0.8613.614.1-0.55
Jason Collins44470.410.090.330.121001018.516.32.2314.113.60.50
Al Horford70740.390.110.280.1391817.417.00.4414.013.10.96
Josh Smith83830.170.33-0.160.20-111-1217.714.03.7013.119.6-6.48
Zaza Pachulia23220.100.40-0.31-0.0246-215.318.0-2.6514.713.51.19
Maurice Evans1090.050.45-0.41-0.0128-614.017.7-3.7417.813.44.38
Jeff Teague19160.040.46-0.410.13-313-1614.518.1-3.6115.013.61.43
Damien Wilkins550.010.49-0.480.16-515-2014.217.5-3.3213.013.9-0.86
Etan Thomas98-0.060.56-0.620.03-313-1617.017.4-0.3713.713.8-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 89, CHA 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.1%
CHA 75, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.8%
UTA 79, MEM 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,193.8%