NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	75		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +20.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.2 [895]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -13.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	1	57%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	7	40%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	17	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	7	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	11	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.01	13	65%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.02	0.06	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dexter Pittman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.03	0.05	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	14	35%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	33.2	15.3	26.3	2.0	27.0	128.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.6%

MEM +1.6%

MEM +9.1%

MEM +17.8%

CHA -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	18.3	16.0	15.4	89.3	111.9	104.1
season	15.6	16.5		99.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	19.8	17.9	19.4	16.4	18.3
MEM	16.2	17.2	18.5	13.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-23	27	15.5	18.8	-3.33	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Jeff Adrien	14	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-26	33	16.1	18.7	-2.56	18.5	15.6	2.90
Jeff Taylor	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	15.7	18.6	-2.92	11.1	16.6	-5.49
Tyrus Thomas	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-18	17	16.9	18.6	-1.74	16.5	15.9	0.62
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-15	11	18.9	17.6	1.32	16.6	15.3	1.28
Jannero Pargo	26	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-10	1	16.9	18.9	-1.96	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Ben Gordon	31	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-11	3	17.7	18.6	-0.95	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Kemba Walker	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.18	-19	0	-19	19.1	16.4	2.70	16.7	14.5	2.26
Bismack Biyombo	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	2	-23	18.4	17.7	0.69	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Josh McRoberts	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	4	-27	18.9	14.7	4.21	15.5	19.0	-3.49
Gerald Henderson	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	4	-27	18.8	15.5	3.33	16.2	15.1	1.11

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	62	61	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.14	25	-6	31	16.2	15.5	0.63	19.1	16.0	3.13
Ed Davis	43	43	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.20	22	-3	25	14.4	17.7	-3.36	18.1	18.4	-0.32
Quincy Pondexter	42	44	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.20	22	-3	25	14.6	17.4	-2.79	17.8	18.8	-1.00
Marc Gasol	50	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	7	5	17.0	14.6	2.34	19.7	16.0	3.72
Tayshaun Prince	50	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.01	12	7	5	16.9	14.7	2.24	19.7	16.2	3.51
Jon Leuer	26	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	6	7	13.3	17.2	-3.86	15.8	19.4	-3.52
Austin Daye	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	11	-3	14.5	16.9	-2.32	16.5	19.3	-2.81
Tony Allen	40	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	17	-15	17.6	14.5	3.13	18.9	17.8	1.09
Dexter Pittman	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	14.6	16.1	-1.50	14.8	18.5	-3.69
Tony Wroten	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	14.6	16.1	-1.50	14.8	18.5	-3.69
Zach Randolph	44	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	22	-25	18.3	13.5	4.75	18.6	18.0	0.64
Keyon Dooling	22	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	25	-31	15.5	16.2	-0.63	16.0	19.1	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MIN 92, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,1	94.0%
ORL 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%