NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	5.3 [776]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +14.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	104		Comeback	1.2 [834]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -17.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	14	62%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	52%	0.06	1	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	3	67%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	19	41%	-0.00	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	13	36%	-0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.04	11	74%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	52%	0.10	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.06
Sherron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	13	21%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	28.2	14.8	28.0	2.5	29.6	128.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +23.8%

CHA +14.4%

CHA +16.6%

WAS -4.8%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.5	96.7	113.0	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.6	14.4	14.8	15.0	15.4
CHA	15.1	15.0	14.0	20.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-18	21	14.4	15.8	-1.41	16.8	15.5	1.32
Al Thornton	58	58	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.03	1	-16	17	14.5	17.0	-2.45	15.9	15.8	0.18
Cartier Martin	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-16	17	9.7	15.8	-6.16	21.8	15.5	6.37
Trevor Booker	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-13	11	11.7	16.0	-4.32	16.7	15.8	0.90
Kirk Hinrich	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.5	15.2	0.28	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Kevin Seraphin	11	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	19.6	14.9	4.78	13.4	16.2	-2.86
Andray Blatche	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-8	1	15.9	14.0	1.93	15.4	17.3	-1.84
John Wall	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-2	-11	15.4	15.6	-0.29	15.9	15.9	0.03
JaVale McGee	47	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.5	15.4	0.09	16.1	15.6	0.51
Nick Young	45	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-5	-5	15.9	15.0	0.91	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Rashard Lewis	52	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	5	-25	16.5	14.0	2.43	16.3	15.3	0.94

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-3	21	15.3	19.2	-3.93	15.6	14.2	1.43
Shaun Livingston	30	30	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	6	3	15.8	15.9	-0.17	15.7	15.3	0.36
Stephen Jackson	80	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.03	13	2	11	15.8	16.5	-0.71	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Dominic McGuire	19	21	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	8	-1	17.0	15.6	1.41	14.0	15.8	-1.78
Kwame Brown	31	31	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	3	9	14.7	16.5	-1.81	16.8	14.7	2.04
Tyrus Thomas	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	9	-3	16.2	15.3	0.90	15.7	15.0	0.72
Derrick Brown	10	9	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	10	-5	16.7	15.8	0.92	19.1	15.0	4.09
D.J. Augustin	62	60	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.18	8	7	1	16.0	15.7	0.32	15.7	14.8	0.89
Boris Diaw	57	57	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	12	-9	15.8	16.0	-0.19	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Sherron Collins	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	22.5	15.6	6.92	11.0	15.7	-4.68
Eduardo Najera	20	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	16	-17	15.9	15.9	0.02	14.1	15.8	-1.69
Matt Carroll	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	19	-23	17.6	15.7	1.93	13.5	15.7	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.62,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 93, TOR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
MIN 89, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1	92.6%