NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	4.9 [849]		MVP	Jerryd Bayless (MEM): +24.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	1.2 [1037]		LVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): -10.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Lucas III	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	52%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	12	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Alec Burks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.13	0.00	11	71%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	14	65%	0.15	2	-0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	61%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.01	0.07	7	94%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Franklin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	27.5	15.8	27.5	2.5	29.2	126.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +21.3%

MEM +4.5%

MEM +11.7%

MEM +12.8%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.1	108.0	120.9	105.2
season	16.2	16.4		102.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		103.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.9	12.9	16.6	17.2	16.2
MEM	17.1	16.6	18.6	16.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	13	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-6	2	13.0	16.8	-3.76	14.3	17.6	-3.22
Trey Burke	66	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-14	18	15.6	18.1	-2.57	16.9	17.7	-0.81
Jeremy Evans	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-7	4	14.0	17.3	-3.24	17.1	17.1	0.05
Derrick Favors	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-12	14	16.7	15.1	1.54	17.2	16.8	0.37
Gordon Hayward	68	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-12	14	16.7	14.5	2.20	17.5	15.7	1.76
Marvin Williams	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	17.2	14.9	2.32	17.0	17.2	-0.20
Richard Jefferson	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-9	8	16.8	14.4	2.45	17.5	16.0	1.55
John Lucas III	21	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	4	-18	18.1	15.6	2.57	17.7	16.9	0.81
Alec Burks	29	29	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	7	-24	15.1	16.8	-1.69	16.5	17.4	-0.94
Enes Kanter	34	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	10	-30	15.8	16.5	-0.71	17.0	17.2	-0.17

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-1	12	17.0	17.2	-0.16	16.1	16.3	-0.19
Jon Leuer	37	38	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-2	14	16.4	17.7	-1.27	15.8	16.5	-0.77
Zach Randolph	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	2	6	17.6	15.6	2.03	16.5	15.4	1.13
James Johnson	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	17.7	15.8	1.96	16.8	15.0	1.76
Mike Miller	33	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	2	6	15.6	18.0	-2.43	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Ed Davis	37	39	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	1	8	15.9	18.0	-2.18	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Tony Allen	57	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	6	-2	17.5	16.4	1.04	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Mike Conley	67	67	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	11	-12	17.1	17.3	-0.20	16.2	16.2	-0.01
Jamaal Franklin	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	16.0	17.1	-1.12	3.0	16.3	-13.35
Kosta Koufos	34	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	19	-28	18.3	16.3	1.92	16.7	15.9	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 88, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
VAN 98, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%