NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	7.0 [402]		MVP	James Harden (BKN): +26.6%
Brooklyn Nets	112		Comeback	1.1 [1041]		LVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): -19.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.02	0.07	22	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Culver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	22	45%	-0.04	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.09
Malik Beasley	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	12	37%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.14	-0.05	25	60%	0.38	6	-0.12	13	92%	0.09
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	83%	0.10	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.08	0.02	22	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.04
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	27.2	14.7	27.2	2.4	31.6	131.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.6%

BKN +14.7%

BKN +0.3%

BKN +0.5%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BKN	NBA	MIN	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.4	101.9	106.7	111.3
season	14.1	14.1		108.7	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.0		111.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	13.0	13.3	12.7	13.6
BKN	12.3	14.7	14.3	13.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Nowell	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-9	13	13.4	13.7	-0.38	15.0	13.3	1.75
Anthony Edwards	76	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-10	15	13.4	14.0	-0.59	13.6	14.5	-0.96
Juancho Hernangomez	15	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	2	-9	15.9	13.2	2.63	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Naz Reid	17	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	0	-5	13.3	13.7	-0.38	15.8	13.4	2.45
Jordan McLaughlin	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-6	7	13.3	13.8	-0.46	15.2	12.7	2.45
Ricky Rubio	61	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	1	-7	13.8	13.3	0.46	12.7	15.2	-2.45
Karl-Anthony Towns	88	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-5	5	13.7	13.3	0.38	13.4	15.8	-2.45
Jaden McDaniels	86	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	13.2	15.6	-2.47	13.7	14.3	-0.63
Jarrett Culver	34	35	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	7	-19	14.5	13.2	1.36	14.4	13.5	0.91
Malik Beasley	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	3	-11	13.5	13.8	-0.24	13.5	14.4	-0.87

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	88	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	14.0	12.9	1.05	13.5	14.4	-0.96
Tyler Johnson	59	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	14.2	13.3	0.95	13.1	14.3	-1.15
Blake Griffin	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-8	21	14.5	13.4	1.10	14.3	13.2	1.07
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	32	31	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-4	13	13.0	14.2	-1.18	14.0	13.4	0.60
Jeff Green	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	12.7	14.7	-1.92	14.0	13.3	0.69
Kyrie Irving	74	74	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	3	-1	12.9	15.9	-2.96	14.1	12.4	1.73
Nicolas Claxton	32	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	3	-1	16.6	12.6	3.95	12.6	14.0	-1.37
Joe Harris	65	64	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	11	-17	14.3	13.1	1.20	13.2	14.2	-0.96
DeAndre Jordan	25	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	12.9	14.1	-1.23	14.1	13.4	0.68
Bruce Brown	65	66	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.28	-12	17	-29	13.5	14.3	-0.82	13.4	13.9	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.97,1,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 91, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,1	94.3%
HOU 100, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	94.3%