NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	4.5 [899]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +9.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.2 [1116]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -12.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Art Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	21	46%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	18	73%	0.17	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	23	54%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	11	70%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	28.1	14.8	28.6	1.8	28.6	124.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.4%

POR +2.9%

POR +8.0%

POR +14.6%

SEA -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	17.0	14.6	15.6	100.0	125.6	102.3
season	16.0	16.0		106.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.0	17.6	16.6	16.8	17.0
POR	11.8	15.1	17.7	14.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	12	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-21	21	14.4	17.4	-2.97	13.5	14.8	-1.27
Predrag Drobnjak	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-23	25	16.5	17.0	-0.55	16.1	14.5	1.65
Olumide Oyedeji	11	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-15	9	17.2	17.0	0.21	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	69	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-14	7	17.1	16.7	0.46	15.5	12.0	3.53
Earl Watson	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-11	1	17.4	16.7	0.63	14.9	14.5	0.40
Art Long	14	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-11	1	17.3	16.9	0.34	13.8	14.8	-0.91
Brent Barry	57	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-9	-3	17.0	17.0	0.00	14.5	14.8	-0.26
Vin Baker	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-7	-7	17.4	15.9	1.48	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Rashard Lewis	73	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-7	-7	16.5	19.0	-2.52	14.7	14.4	0.22
Calvin Booth	29	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-6	-9	16.9	17.1	-0.20	12.9	15.3	-2.44
Gary Payton	83	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.04	-19	-2	-17	17.3	14.6	2.71	14.7	13.6	1.15

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.22	28	-7	35	14.7	14.1	0.62	17.7	14.2	3.52
Rasheed Wallace	74	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	5	11	15.0	12.7	2.28	16.8	18.1	-1.30
Bonzi Wells	62	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	11	-1	14.7	14.4	0.28	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Dale Davis	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	4	13	13.8	16.4	-2.64	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Scottie Pippen	59	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	10	1	14.8	14.4	0.41	17.3	16.4	0.88
Steve Kerr	33	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	16	-11	14.9	14.5	0.41	16.8	17.1	-0.29
Zach Randolph	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	16	-11	13.3	15.0	-1.68	17.2	17.0	0.20
Chris Dudley	7	6	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.09	6	15	-9	11.9	14.9	-3.00	18.5	16.9	1.60
Ruben Patterson	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	14	-7	14.3	14.9	-0.58	15.6	18.0	-2.36
Shawn Kemp	20	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	23	-25	17.9	13.7	4.21	17.3	16.9	0.42
Rick Brunson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	11.0	14.8	-3.84	15.2	17.1	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 99, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%