NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	10.6 [42]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +89.2%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	25.5 [72]		LVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): -24.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.73	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.73	0.05	0.66	-0.02	24	49%	0.73	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Dean Wade	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	8	68%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Damyean Dotson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	5	82%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Lamar Stevens	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Larry Nance Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Brodric Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	18	45%	0.01	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	7	14%	-0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.89	0.89	0.01	0.85	-0.03	10	67%	1.03	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.19,0.65	0.65	0.19	0.48	0.02	24	69%	0.82	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.09
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.00	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.6	14.7	27.2	2.3	37.1	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.2%

SAC +30.2%

CLE -21.4%

CLE -14.9%

SAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	13.5	14.4	102.1	104.2	111.3
season	15.2	14.0		104.5	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.0		115.9	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	19.0	16.0	16.0	16.5
SAC	12.8	13.2	14.6	13.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damyean Dotson	42	41	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.11	8	-10	18	16.8	16.3	0.51	16.2	11.4	4.78
Brodric Thomas	65	64	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-10	18	15.8	18.0	-2.23	13.2	14.1	-0.97
Lamar Stevens	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-6	10	16.1	16.7	-0.61	15.9	12.6	3.30
Darius Garland	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	4	-10	16.7	16.1	0.61	12.6	15.9	-3.30
Dean Wade	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	16.8	16.1	0.74	14.3	12.2	2.10
Isaac Okoro	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	8	-18	16.8	15.8	1.04	12.5	15.9	-3.35
Larry Nance Jr.	71	72	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	6	-14	16.5	16.7	-0.27	12.3	16.9	-4.58

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	76	75	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.52	13	-11	24	12.8	16.0	-3.25	16.2	17.6	-1.34
Chimezie Metu	29	26	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	12.9	13.7	-0.88	16.7	16.4	0.29
De'Aaron Fox	77	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-3	8	13.4	13.8	-0.45	16.7	15.7	1.04
Richaun Holmes	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	5	-8	13.6	13.3	0.31	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Tyrese Haliburton	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.50	-1	3	-4	12.6	16.0	-3.40	15.3	20.0	-4.65
Delon Wright	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	4	-6	15.3	12.1	3.25	17.1	16.0	1.11
Buddy Hield	65	66	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.36	9	-7	16	12.6	15.2	-2.58	16.7	16.2	0.42
Terence Davis	32	32	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.07	-8	10	-18	15.4	12.5	2.84	17.6	16.0	1.66
Maurice Harkless	20	21	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.07	-11	13	-24	16.0	12.8	3.25	17.6	16.2	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.46,0.16,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 84, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1	92.2%
PHI 107, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.15,1	89.9%
CHA 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.16,1	89.6%