inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 98 Excitement9.0 [150] MVPMelvin Ely (CHA): +29.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 99 Comeback19.0 [95] LVPGerald Wallace (CHA): -41.0%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Melvin Ely0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.150.150.001377%0.3000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.20.060.140.00967%0.231-0.0300%0.00
Bernard Robinson0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.080.01687%0.213-0.073100%0.02
Sean May0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.08-0.00370%0.121-0.02475%-0.01
Jumaine Jones0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.020.00475%0.0700.0000%0.00
Primoz Brezec0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Carroll-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00217%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Raymond Felton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.14-0.01-0.130.001450%-0.042-0.10650%-0.20
Emeka Okafor-0.270,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27-0.16-0.11-0.001228%-0.183-0.09862%-0.03
Gerald Wallace-0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.41-0.05-0.36-0.001035%-0.381-0.0300%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.120.130.003120%0.271-0.024100%0.04
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,0.170.17-0.090.24-0.023040%0.202-0.031292%0.20
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.02-0.021275%0.163-0.04475%0.01
Brian Cook0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.12,0.120.120.060.080.01961%0.1200.0000%0.00
Laron Profit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.001125%0.151-0.072100%0.02
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Smush Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.06-0.00650%0.024-0.1400%0.00
Lamar Odom0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.11-0.08-0.011132%-0.103-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.42.526.416.723.42.436.6135.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA -17.0%
LAL +62.4%
LAL +5.2%
CHA -2.9%
LAL +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHALALNBACHALALNBA
this game15.416.415.6108.9108.8104.4
season14.815.6100.5106.2
opponent15.515.4104.3104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.014.515.318.215.4
LAL16.715.516.716.916.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Melvin Ely52550.39-0.891.28-0.1117-183515.115.9-0.8917.015.51.51
Jumaine Jones26280.27-0.771.040.077-81515.215.5-0.2816.716.20.53
Raymond Felton26280.23-0.730.960.085-61115.215.5-0.2816.716.20.53
Matt Carroll17190.09-0.590.67-0.096-71312.916.0-3.0713.917.0-3.08
Sean May28290.03-0.530.56-0.032-3516.015.20.7715.216.9-1.68
Primoz Brezec3130-0.20-0.300.10-0.03-65-1115.215.6-0.3715.816.7-0.92
Bernard Robinson3232-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-2316.614.81.7515.616.8-1.22
Gerald Wallace6059-0.620.12-0.74-0.41-76-1315.415.5-0.0517.314.82.47
Brevin Knight6463-0.730.23-0.96-0.55-65-1115.515.20.2816.216.7-0.53
Keith Bogans4544-0.810.31-1.12-0.49-1110-2115.715.20.5616.616.20.44
Emeka Okafor6968-0.880.38-1.26-0.50-1312-2515.614.90.7516.715.61.10

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant75750.81-0.311.120.4911-102116.615.21.4515.415.5-0.12
Luke Walton39390.81-0.311.120.90-34-715.017.4-2.4714.716.0-1.26
Chris Mihm72720.64-0.140.770.524-3716.316.7-0.3815.216.2-0.99
Sasha Vujacic43430.62-0.120.740.533-2516.816.00.7715.815.10.64
Andrew Bynum25240.52-0.020.550.55-12-317.615.91.7314.715.7-0.93
Lamar Odom75730.360.140.210.41-23-516.515.70.8515.415.6-0.26
Devean George1515-0.020.52-0.540.04-23-514.816.7-1.9013.515.8-2.36
Laron Profit1414-0.080.58-0.67-0.0801-117.616.21.4919.014.84.22
Smush Parker4847-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-23-516.016.8-0.7715.115.8-0.64
Brian Cook5555-0.280.78-1.07-0.342-1316.316.4-0.1016.414.02.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, MIN 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,192.2%
MIL 86, CHA 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,191.4%
BOS 107, DAL 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,190.8%