NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	7.5 [333]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +31.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	87		Comeback	13.6 [118]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -33.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	7	31%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.02	0.10	-0.06	0.02	19	68%	0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Michael Redd	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,-0.33	0.01	-0.36	-0.01	27	45%	-0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.26	-0.01	10	67%	0.37	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	14	64%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	13	36%	-0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.26	-0.26	-0.01	-0.24	0.00	5	62%	0.06	3	-0.32	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	26.2	14.8	22.2	2.3	40.5	132.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +85.8%

CHA +0.4%

MIL -18.9%

MIL -23.8%

CHA +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	18.4	15.9	15.5	102.4	103.6	105.7
season	16.2	16.2		100.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.3	19.8	16.3	19.2	18.4
CHA	13.8	16.2	18.9	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	26	27	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-12	23	17.2	18.9	-1.68	17.7	15.1	2.61
Larry Sanders	25	24	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-4	7	17.2	18.9	-1.76	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Drew Gooden	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.16	-2	1	-3	18.0	18.6	-0.65	15.2	16.3	-1.05
Keyon Dooling	34	32	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-5	9	17.6	18.9	-1.35	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	73	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-5	9	18.3	19.2	-0.91	16.0	14.8	1.24
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.62	3	-4	7	18.4	18.4	0.04	16.7	14.6	2.09
John Salmons	59	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.47	-3	2	-5	18.8	17.3	1.53	16.5	14.6	1.91
Andrew Bogut	64	65	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	19.2	15.8	3.40	15.9	15.8	0.07
Carlos Delfino	61	61	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.51	-19	18	-37	18.9	17.1	1.80	14.4	19.9	-5.54

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	32	31	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-12	25	15.1	16.4	-1.29	20.8	17.0	3.77
Garrett Temple	17	16	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-9	19	14.8	16.2	-1.34	21.7	17.6	4.07
Boris Diaw	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	15.9	16.0	-0.13	17.8	21.0	-3.22
Gerald Henderson	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	16.2	15.1	1.13	17.5	20.8	-3.29
Stephen Jackson	60	61	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.53	-7	8	-15	16.2	15.2	1.02	17.5	20.7	-3.11
Matt Carroll	24	24	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	-4	9	15.1	16.2	-1.13	20.3	17.6	2.66
DJ White	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	2	-3	16.3	15.6	0.77	18.9	18.0	0.92
Eduardo Najera	20	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	3	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.30	20.7	17.7	3.03
Shaun Livingston	19	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	15.7	15.9	-0.20	19.9	18.0	1.97
Tyrus Thomas	36	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	2	-3	16.3	15.6	0.67	17.2	19.3	-2.10
D.J. Augustin	48	49	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	7	-13	16.3	15.3	1.03	16.9	20.4	-3.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.28,1	93.2%
MEM 89, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,1	93.0%
ATL 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.08,1	91.7%