NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	10.6 [62]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +85.9%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	15.0 [73]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): -22.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.37	0.02	0.36	0.01	18	51%	0.42	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.20
James Ennis III	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	6	43%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.09	-0.00	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Ben Simmons	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	14	55%	0.11	5	-0.32	5	80%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.86	0.86	0.17	0.68	-0.01	26	60%	1.02	2	-0.16	13	69%	-0.04
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	17	43%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	6	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.02	13	56%	0.04	4	-0.20	8	62%	-0.13
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	9	52%	0.01	4	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.5	23.2	14.5	27.2	2.8	39.1	137.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +65.1%

PHI -46.4%

CHI +32.8%

PHI -7.7%

CHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.9	14.3	105.9	108.0	109.3
season	14.0	14.6		110.9	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		112.4	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	14.5	13.5	13.5	13.8
CHI	12.4	17.4	14.7	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	41	41	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.09	12	-13	25	13.5	14.0	-0.45	15.3	14.6	0.70
T.J. McConnell	42	41	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-7	13	15.0	12.9	2.17	15.2	14.6	0.58
JJ Redick	64	66	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-8	15	12.7	15.7	-2.99	15.2	14.4	0.80
Jonah Bolden	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	4	-9	15.5	12.8	2.71	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Jimmy Butler	75	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.66	7	-8	15	13.4	15.0	-1.59	15.2	13.9	1.32
Tobias Harris	77	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	4	-9	13.7	14.1	-0.45	14.8	15.1	-0.27
Ben Simmons	75	74	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	4	-9	13.2	15.5	-2.31	15.0	14.4	0.62
James Ennis III	37	34	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	7	-15	15.7	12.7	2.99	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Mike Scott	56	55	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.58	-14	13	-27	13.4	14.3	-0.91	14.7	15.1	-0.38

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	79	81	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.88	7	-6	13	14.8	15.3	-0.51	13.2	16.3	-3.14
Otto Porter Jr.	75	75	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.48	9	-8	17	14.3	16.5	-2.13	14.0	13.1	0.95
Kris Dunn	57	57	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.62	3	-2	5	14.8	15.0	-0.21	12.6	15.3	-2.64
Zach LaVine	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.53	6	-5	11	14.7	15.5	-0.78	13.1	16.0	-2.96
Lauri Markkanen	61	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.62	-6	7	-13	16.1	13.0	3.12	13.2	14.8	-1.66
Cristiano Felicio	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	1	-1	15.6	14.8	0.80	17.6	13.4	4.14
Shaquille Harrison	20	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	4	-7	15.0	14.8	0.21	16.0	13.2	2.84
Ryan Arcidiacono	43	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.14	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.3	12.6	2.64
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	29	29	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	9	-17	15.4	14.6	0.80	14.6	13.5	1.13
Wayne Selden	49	48	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.51	-1	2	-3	14.1	15.6	-1.57	14.2	13.4	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, ORL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,1	91.1%
SAS 95, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.43,1	90.7%
ORL 94, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.09,1	90.7%