NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	5.2 [681]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +14.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Comeback	1.7 [230]		LVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): -14.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Paul Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Malachi Flynn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	24	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	0.08	15	53%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.02	8	89%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	24	67%	0.18	6	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	63%	0.09	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.06	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	56%	0.06	6	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	30.0	9.6	24.4	2.5	36.5	129.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +54.6%

TOR -2.4%

CLE +14.8%

TOR -18.1%

CLE +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	12.3	14.5	14.4	97.2	108.4	111.3
season	14.2	15.2		111.0	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.6		112.9	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	11.3	12.6	14.0	11.4	12.3
CLE	16.4	12.7	14.2	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-17	23	11.1	12.8	-1.75	15.1	14.2	0.96
Patrick McCaw	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-13	15	10.8	12.7	-1.86	17.2	13.8	3.41
Malachi Flynn	27	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	-3	-5	13.9	11.8	2.11	15.6	14.2	1.44
Paul Watson	12	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-2	-7	14.6	12.0	2.56	12.6	14.7	-2.15
Aron Baynes	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	2	-15	13.3	11.9	1.34	15.2	14.2	1.03
Norman Powell	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-7	3	12.4	12.2	0.18	14.0	15.5	-1.52
Fred VanVleet	94	93	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.38	4	-15	19	11.6	17.0	-5.39	14.8	12.1	2.71
Pascal Siakam	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	0	-11	12.7	11.9	0.77	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Kyle Lowry	91	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	0	-11	12.5	11.5	0.99	13.9	17.9	-4.00
OG Anunoby	71	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	-5	-1	12.6	11.6	1.00	14.2	15.1	-0.84

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	81	81	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.4	14.7	-0.31	12.4	12.0	0.36
Isaac Okoro	68	69	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	14.1	15.1	-0.96	12.1	12.7	-0.65
Larry Nance Jr.	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	5	1	14.2	15.2	-1.08	11.9	13.1	-1.24
Collin Sexton	88	89	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	6	-1	14.0	16.7	-2.73	11.9	14.0	-2.06
Jarrett Allen	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	8	-5	14.2	15.2	-1.08	12.4	12.1	0.30
Cedi Osman	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	1	9	15.1	13.9	1.19	13.0	11.7	1.34
JaVale McGee	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	15.7	14.0	1.76	12.0	12.4	-0.43
Dean Wade	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	3	5	15.2	14.1	1.09	12.6	12.1	0.47
Dylan Windler	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	14.8	14.4	0.47	12.9	12.1	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	95.9%
GSW 78, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
MIA 90, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%