NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	90		Excitement	4.5 [909]		MVP	Marquese Chriss (PHX): +15.3%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	2.1 [675]		LVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): -13.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	18	57%	0.16	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.09	16	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	16	34%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	11	75%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	19	60%	0.11	6	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	14	47%	0.04	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
TJ Warren	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	30.6	15.4	22.6	2.5	33.5	130.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.9%

PHX +7.5%

PHX +5.5%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	14.8	97.8	107.6	107.7
season	15.4	13.9		106.7	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		110.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.6	17.2	19.6	14.3	16.3
PHX	13.6	12.8	14.0	20.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Reed	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-15	21	15.6	17.9	-2.25	15.5	13.8	1.72
Derrick Williams	48	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-9	9	16.3	16.4	-0.12	14.7	15.2	-0.48
Goran Dragic	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-12	15	16.1	17.1	-0.96	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Rodney McGruder	62	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	16.1	16.9	-0.77	16.2	12.3	3.89
Udonis Haslem	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	6	-21	17.9	15.6	2.25	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Luke Babbitt	44	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	7	-23	16.9	15.8	1.12	13.0	16.9	-3.87
Wayne Ellington	70	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	16.4	16.1	0.28	15.4	13.6	1.79
Josh Richardson	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	5	-19	16.4	16.2	0.19	15.0	14.8	0.18

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-2	13	14.9	15.2	-0.28	16.8	15.2	1.58
Devin Booker	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.7	15.5	-0.76	16.8	15.1	1.74
Marquese Chriss	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	3	3	15.4	14.3	1.08	16.6	16.0	0.60
Tyson Chandler	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.3	16.5	-0.16
TJ Warren	34	33	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	2	5	13.4	15.9	-2.45	15.9	16.6	-0.64
PJ Tucker	60	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	8	-7	15.5	13.9	1.61	16.4	16.2	0.28
Dragan Bender	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.22	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Alex Len	31	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	7	-5	15.1	14.9	0.16	16.5	16.3	0.16
Leandro Barbosa	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	9	-9	15.5	14.7	0.76	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Tyler Ulis	26	25	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	11	-13	15.2	14.9	0.28	15.2	16.8	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 93, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1	95.5%
BOS 83, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%