NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	4.5 [902]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +15.1%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	2.0 [1178]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -13.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	16	68%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	16	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	90%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Paul Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	18	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	13	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	16	69%	0.16	2	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	83%	0.18	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	18	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	29.4	15.6	27.2	2.6	28.2	131.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +19.0%

PHX +10.8%

PHX +8.0%

PHX +10.3%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	12.2	15.4	93.1	108.7	105.7
season	15.6	13.8		99.5	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.5	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	16.3	16.6	15.2	16.0
PHX	12.1	13.2	10.1	13.6	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	11.6	16.2	-4.60	16.8	11.9	4.94
Ruben Patterson	63	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-10	1	15.9	16.0	-0.09	12.8	11.3	1.54
Dan Dickau	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-9	-1	15.6	16.3	-0.72	13.8	11.1	2.70
Al Thornton	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-14	9	15.3	16.3	-1.02	14.1	11.2	2.83
Tim Thomas	71	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	15.7	16.6	-0.85	12.0	12.7	-0.75
Sam Cassell	58	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-10	1	16.3	15.6	0.72	11.1	13.8	-2.70
Quinton Ross	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-8	-3	16.0	15.8	0.25	11.3	14.2	-2.86
Cuttino Mobley	73	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-2	-15	16.3	15.2	1.10	11.9	13.0	-1.07
Chris Kaman	86	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.13	-25	6	-31	16.4	13.5	2.94	11.8	14.5	-2.68

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	83	79	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	3	13	12.1	12.7	-0.61	16.2	15.2	0.95
Shawn Marion	86	83	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	3	13	11.8	14.1	-2.26	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Steve Nash	78	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	7	5	12.1	12.4	-0.27	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Raja Bell	73	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	3	13	12.3	12.0	0.26	15.5	17.2	-1.70
Boris Diaw	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	13	-7	12.1	12.3	-0.20	16.2	15.6	0.61
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	5	9	12.5	11.6	0.87	15.2	17.2	-1.97
Leandro Barbosa	52	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	12	-5	12.4	12.0	0.40	16.3	15.6	0.78
Brian Skinner	14	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	14	-9	12.1	12.2	-0.05	18.1	15.6	2.44
Marcus Banks	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	16	-13	14.4	12.0	2.37	18.4	15.8	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, SAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 74, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%