inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 78 Excitement4.0 [985] MVPA.C. Green (MIA): +5.9%
Miami Heat 88 Comeback2.1 [937] LVPLarry Hughes (GSW): -18.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vinny Del Negro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mookie Blaylock-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.001359%0.032-0.05367%-0.01
Vonteego Cummings-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.020.062259%0.043-0.072100%0.00
Marc Jackson-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021142%-0.011-0.032100%0.00
Bill Curley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.02333%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Adam Keefe-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Bob Sura-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021050%0.025-0.1000%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.15-0.030.001328%-0.132-0.06367%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.01675%0.0600.004100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.011250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.001267%0.043-0.031283%0.02
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.011158%0.021-0.03989%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.07833%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021235%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02729%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.326.315.826.22.430.5125.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +10.5%
MIA +18.2%
GSW -4.9%
MIA +28.0%
GSW -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game15.417.015.587.698.9100.9
season15.016.395.398.4
opponent16.114.996.9104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.618.616.214.415.4
MIA19.615.015.817.717.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vinny Del Negro1716-0.01-0.490.48-0.196-162213.215.9-2.7017.616.90.76
Adam Keefe3838-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-8613.916.4-2.4617.017.00.05
Vonteego Cummings2830-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-101016.814.72.0815.917.5-1.61
Bill Curley2728-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-7417.014.62.3516.717.1-0.42
Antawn Jamison8483-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.20-6-4-215.218.4-3.2217.016.80.18
Bob Sura5151-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-8-2-616.413.92.4617.017.0-0.05
Mookie Blaylock5757-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.01-133-1615.415.20.1717.316.40.88
Marc Jackson6767-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-111-1214.916.7-1.7617.116.70.42
Larry Hughes7675-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-133-1615.315.8-0.5717.116.70.34

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Carter45450.450.050.400.0115-52015.218.9-3.7316.414.22.19
Anthony Mason76770.410.090.310.0612-21416.818.0-1.1715.315.8-0.55
Eddie Jones76760.370.130.240.1673417.116.20.9915.117.0-1.92
Brian Grant69680.370.130.230.2837-417.116.50.6415.315.6-0.28
Dan Majerle41400.320.180.130.1464217.916.21.6716.014.81.21
Tim Hardaway59600.230.27-0.050.1437-417.516.01.4614.716.7-2.02
A.C. Green33330.230.27-0.050.0855017.116.90.1415.715.20.49
Bruce Bowen46460.140.36-0.220.17-111-1217.116.90.2715.015.7-0.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 92, MEM 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
BOS 83, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
LAC 89, VAN 1090.5,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%