NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	7.3 [367]		MVP	Landry Shamet (BKN): +22.7%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	1.9 [765]		LVP	Jerami Grant (DET): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney McGruder	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Sekou Doumbouya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	13	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Saben Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.00	-0.13	0.03	17	52%	0.03	3	-0.19	8	87%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.06	0.00	6	100%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	8	87%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.1,0.1,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.18	0.02	19	52%	0.31	4	-0.17	8	100%	0.09
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	18	47%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.4	14.7	26.4	2.6	35.0	130.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +41.6%

BKN +10.2%

DET -17.5%

BKN +12.4%

BKN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.5	14.4	97.9	104.2	111.3
season	15.0	14.1		107.0	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	16.8	16.6	13.0	15.4
BKN	13.8	12.5	15.4	16.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sekou Doumbouya	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-7	9	17.8	15.2	2.58	16.8	14.4	2.44
Rodney McGruder	58	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-1	-3	14.1	17.2	-3.10	15.9	12.5	3.42
Wayne Ellington	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.27	5	-10	15	16.7	13.7	2.97	12.8	16.4	-3.59
Saben Lee	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	13.6	16.3	-2.69	15.9	13.7	2.11
Mason Plumlee	56	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-6	7	16.2	14.2	2.04	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Josh Jackson	45	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-1	-3	14.0	16.5	-2.52	16.1	13.1	2.97
Isaiah Stewart	41	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	1	-7	14.2	16.2	-2.04	15.4	13.9	1.51
Delon Wright	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	16.3	13.6	2.69	13.7	15.9	-2.11
Saddiq Bey	57	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.6	15.0	0.64	14.0	15.3	-1.31
Jerami Grant	73	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	5	-15	15.8	13.9	1.91	13.8	16.3	-2.44

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-3	11	14.2	15.5	-1.35	16.0	13.7	2.27
Jeff Green	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	15.5	12.6	2.85	14.2	17.4	-3.21
Tyler Johnson	34	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	0	5	15.5	13.9	1.56	14.2	16.0	-1.72
Nicolas Claxton	36	37	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-2	9	15.1	14.1	0.91	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Landry Shamet	46	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-3	11	15.2	13.8	1.36	14.5	16.1	-1.57
DeAndre Jordan	58	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	9	-13	14.5	14.5	-0.06	15.9	14.5	1.44
James Harden	76	79	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	9	-13	14.1	15.8	-1.72	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Joe Harris	62	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	5	-5	13.9	15.5	-1.56	15.7	14.6	1.13
Bruce Brown	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.03	3	2	1	12.6	15.5	-2.85	17.4	14.2	3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.75,0.61,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.88,0.68,0.84,0.78,0.9,1	92.5%
NYK 95, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.92,1	92.3%
IND 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.96,1	92.0%