inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 77 Excitement4.7 [775] MVPDevin Vassell (SAS): +11.5%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback3.5 [651] LVPMichael Carter-Williams (ORL): -16.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.021872%0.194-0.1000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Gary Clark0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.021038%0.031-0.0210%-0.02
Mo Bamba-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03529%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Chuma Okeke-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.01-0.06938%0.032-0.053100%0.00
Dwayne Bacon-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001644%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Khem Birch-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Chasson Randle-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.00736%-0.053-0.0500%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.170,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.18-0.02-0.03928%-0.046-0.1200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.050.05-0.01667%0.1200.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.06-0.011054%0.1100.00475%-0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.010.09979%0.0800.006100%0.02
Derrick White0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.040.051268%0.113-0.071100%0.00
Keita Bates-Diop00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Eubanks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00638%0.0000.001100%0.00
Luka Samanic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tre Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.01955%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02831%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.021942%0.022-0.06250%-0.02
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00650%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.31.828.514.726.32.525.2122.3
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.2%
SAS +3.2%
SAS +10.0%
SAS +10.9%
ORL -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLSASNBAORLSASNBA
this game16.313.814.480.2109.5111.3
season14.914.6103.9109.8
opponent14.214.0111.3113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL13.717.517.716.316.3
SAS16.310.214.215.013.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwayne Bacon6969-0.16-0.340.17-0.05-4-231915.219.2-4.0314.312.51.87
Al-Farouq Aminu4950-0.18-0.320.140.29-16-11-516.915.71.1313.614.0-0.42
Mo Bamba3735-0.22-0.280.060.45-23-4-1917.515.61.8513.713.9-0.26
Chuma Okeke5454-0.25-0.250.000.02-9-18914.518.6-4.1215.212.03.20
Gary Clark5149-0.26-0.24-0.030.18-15-12-318.214.24.0412.715.0-2.37
Nikola Vucevic5960-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-4-231915.617.5-1.8513.913.70.26
Michael Carter-Williams4142-0.28-0.22-0.060.39-23-4-1916.716.10.6313.614.0-0.45
Khem Birch4745-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-16515.716.9-1.1314.013.60.42
Chasson Randle7371-0.540.04-0.580.34-303-3317.213.53.6813.215.6-2.41

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills45460.69-0.190.88-0.1930-33312.015.5-3.4618.214.63.51
Dejounte Murray63630.440.060.37-0.242341913.115.2-2.0616.216.5-0.29
Rudy Gay37390.400.100.31-0.242251712.714.6-1.8818.315.03.34
Jakob Poeltl60590.280.220.060.16423-1913.913.70.2615.617.5-1.85
Derrick White50510.250.250.00-0.101215-312.815.0-2.2016.815.81.03
Lonnie Walker IV52500.220.28-0.05-0.191413114.612.91.6316.316.4-0.09
Drew Eubanks35370.220.28-0.06-0.452341913.713.9-0.2617.515.61.85
Devin Vassell32330.120.38-0.25-0.08720-1314.713.41.3517.415.71.68
Keldon Johnson49480.040.46-0.420.13-330-3314.013.70.2914.718.0-3.27
Luka Samanic11110.000.50-0.50-0.15522-1717.513.34.1114.416.6-2.21
Keita Bates-Diop780.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2115.613.71.8913.216.6-3.35
Tre Jones890.000.50-0.50-0.09324-2117.113.53.6113.616.6-3.05
Trey Lyles2626-0.170.67-0.840.07-835-4316.412.83.5813.817.2-3.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 103, CHI 1130.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,194.3%
SAC 95, CHA 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.9%
TOR 105, HOU 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.6%