NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	4.6 [933]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +13.6%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	3.2 [731]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -8.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	17	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Juan Dixon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.09	-0.05	0.10	25	66%	0.08	5	-0.14	9	78%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	16	49%	-0.02	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.22	0.01	0.09	15	94%	0.22	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	86%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Reiner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	12	37%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	7	28%	-0.04	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.6	32.5	17.5	23.4	2.6	38.2	145.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.2%

CHI +0.3%

CHI +3.9%

CHI +6.6%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	12.5	15.4	15.5	98.1	110.8	104.0
season	14.7	15.1		104.7	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		98.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.2	14.4	13.3	10.6	12.5
CHI	16.2	13.8	18.9	13.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	7	6	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-13	16	11.6	12.6	-0.98	13.7	15.5	-1.82
Brendan Haywood	41	41	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.35	12	-22	34	11.4	13.2	-1.72	16.7	14.5	2.17
Anthony Peeler	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-6	2	17.3	12.2	5.14	12.8	15.5	-2.71
Antawn Jamison	84	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-13	16	12.4	13.0	-0.64	15.5	15.1	0.35
Larry Hughes	84	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.22	1	-11	12	11.8	15.0	-3.20	16.3	11.8	4.46
Gilbert Arenas	101	98	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-9	8	12.1	21.5	-9.37	15.6	10.0	5.60
Jared Jeffries	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	12.4	12.6	-0.17	16.7	14.2	2.43
Kwame Brown	48	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	6	-22	13.8	11.4	2.44	14.2	16.3	-2.12
Etan Thomas	46	45	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	11	-32	14.1	11.2	2.85	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Juan Dixon	60	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	7	-24	12.3	12.8	-0.47	13.8	17.3	-3.46

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-6	22	12.3	17.3	-5.02	12.4	12.6	-0.20
Andres Nocioni	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-1	12	15.5	15.1	0.40	12.7	12.0	0.66
Adrian Griffin	50	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.05	13	-3	16	14.6	16.2	-1.57	12.8	12.2	0.66
Chris Duhon	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	10	-10	16.4	13.2	3.21	11.6	14.4	-2.76
Ben Gordon	38	39	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	16.7	14.6	2.12	13.4	11.9	1.47
Tyson Chandler	50	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	1	8	14.1	16.6	-2.52	13.1	11.9	1.15
Antonio Davis	60	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	16.2	14.2	2.03	12.0	13.2	-1.25
Jannero Pargo	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	3	4	12.9	16.4	-3.52	12.7	12.4	0.33
Kirk Hinrich	52	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	14	-18	15.8	14.9	0.87	12.2	12.8	-0.58
Jared Reiner	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	9.0	15.4	-6.45	4.0	12.6	-8.57
Othella Harrington	44	46	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.28	-10	20	-30	17.7	13.6	4.16	12.9	12.2	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 90, NOP 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
TOR 86, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%