inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement6.0 [541] MVPGoran Dragic (MIA): +25.4%
Chicago Bulls 90 Comeback1.3 [709] LVPPatrick Williams (CHI): -12.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.250.100.14-0.011574%0.344-0.09475%0.01
Duncan Robinson0.190,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.140.080.02983%0.1900.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.031761%0.142-0.051283%0.04
Chris Silva0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.000,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.001141%0.0000.0000%0.00
KZ Okpala-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00367%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Kendrick Nunn-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.001145%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.02722%-0.081-0.01450%-0.02

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach LaVine0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.070.021683%0.335-0.124100%0.01
Lauri Markkanen0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.040.021856%0.102-0.0300%0.00
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.021348%0.042-0.021100%0.01
Denzel Valentine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02642%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00533%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Coby White0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.021331%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00642%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.01-0.00520%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Patrick Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00625%-0.053-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.426.615.323.41.827.2120.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +36.5%
MIA +7.5%
CHI -17.4%
MIA +17.8%
MIA +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game14.914.414.4103.190.9111.3
season14.614.5109.3109.9
opponent14.314.9111.1110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.216.214.413.714.9
CHI14.812.614.415.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic67680.450.050.400.1992715.014.50.5913.616.0-2.40
Chris Silva25240.430.070.350.2856-113.115.5-2.3315.614.01.58
Tyler Herro47490.380.120.260.2356-114.315.4-1.1614.114.7-0.60
Duncan Robinson61620.350.150.190.1765114.116.2-2.1015.212.92.30
Jimmy Butler67660.250.25-0.01-0.0292715.314.01.2514.414.30.12
Kelly Olynyk67690.080.42-0.33-0.1274315.413.71.7314.015.2-1.17
Kendrick Nunn52520.080.42-0.34-0.0447-315.614.01.5314.614.20.41
KZ Okpala51520.050.45-0.40-0.0747-315.414.31.0714.614.20.41
Andre Iguodala23220.030.47-0.440.09-213-1515.014.80.1312.514.9-2.48
Precious Achiuwa66-0.010.51-0.520.02-112-1316.014.81.2213.714.4-0.76

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter Jr.2628-0.04-0.460.43-0.061-121314.014.5-0.5712.915.6-2.75
Tomas Satoransky3535-0.05-0.450.39-0.02-1-10912.515.4-2.8515.214.70.49
Garrett Temple4546-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-10913.615.0-1.4014.814.9-0.10
Thaddeus Young5252-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-111113.515.3-1.7815.014.70.39
Denzel Valentine3736-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.24-1-10913.814.7-0.9114.015.4-1.40
Zach LaVine7576-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.06-9-2-714.115.3-1.2515.711.93.86
Lauri Markkanen6664-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.13-9-2-714.613.90.6715.713.32.44
Coby White6866-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.17-8-3-515.312.42.8614.715.1-0.35
Wendell Carter Jr.4746-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.12-110-1115.313.51.7814.715.0-0.39
Patrick Williams4441-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-165-2116.213.03.2014.015.5-1.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 100, MIL 910.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0.01,0,095.3%
WAS 108, BOS 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.2,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.3%
UTA 93, MIN 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.0%