NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.5 [721]		MVP	Trey Lyles (UTA): +17.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	1.4 [985]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (UTA): -13.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.01	9	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	15	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	15	56%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	11	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	14	21%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	12	82%	0.22	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	12	33%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	5	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.05	11	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.6	25.4	15.4	23.6	2.5	29.5	118.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.5%

MIN -4.7%

UTA +1.2%

MIN -0.8%

UTA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	14.9	101.1	91.3	105.1
season	16.3	14.8		104.6	104.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.4	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	17.4	15.7	16.2	16.6
MIN	16.9	14.7	15.6	12.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	39	38	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	15.6	17.4	-1.87	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Derrick Favors	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	16.6	16.8	-0.23	14.8	14.3	0.44
Gordon Hayward	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	1	7	17.2	14.4	2.81	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Rodney Hood	64	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	0	9	16.5	17.0	-0.57	15.3	13.3	1.98
Raul Neto	28	28	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	1	7	14.6	17.5	-2.92	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Shelvin Mack	64	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	8	-7	17.5	14.6	2.92	14.7	14.5	0.23
Chris Johnson	14	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	7	-5	17.2	16.5	0.68	15.1	14.6	0.56
Joe Ingles	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	10	-11	15.5	17.2	-1.75	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Trevor Booker	19	22	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	8	-7	18.2	16.2	1.98	15.1	14.5	0.62
Rudy Gobert	60	58	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.13	-7	16	-23	16.9	16.1	0.79	15.0	14.0	1.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	62	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-16	23	15.0	13.9	1.08	17.8	14.3	3.42
Gorgui Dieng	54	56	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-18	27	14.8	14.5	0.23	17.7	14.9	2.79
Ricky Rubio	56	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-16	23	14.8	14.5	0.31	17.6	15.1	2.51
Andrew Wiggins	62	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-10	11	15.1	13.8	1.28	17.5	15.0	2.52
Zach LaVine	65	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	15.2	13.4	1.83	17.6	14.5	3.03
Tayshaun Prince	27	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	1	-11	13.4	15.2	-1.83	14.5	17.6	-3.03
Shabazz Muhammad	30	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	1	-11	13.8	15.1	-1.28	15.0	17.5	-2.52
Tyus Jones	36	35	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	7	-23	14.5	14.8	-0.31	15.1	17.6	-2.51
Greg Smith	38	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	9	-27	14.5	14.8	-0.23	14.9	17.7	-2.79
Nemanja Bjelica	30	30	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.07	-16	7	-23	13.9	15.0	-1.08	14.3	17.8	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 111, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	93.3%
BOS 100, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0.01,0,0	93.2%