NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	121		Excitement	8.2 [234]		MVP	Tony Snell (ATL): +81.4%
Toronto Raptors	120		Comeback	108.9 [20]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -19.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Snell	0.81	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.81	0.05	0.76	-0.00	4	75%	0.81	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	10	83%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.03	16	53%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Trae Young	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	24	58%	0.11	6	-0.16	16	81%	0.02
John Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	43%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.10	0.04	15	76%	0.32	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.02	20	70%	0.27	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	15	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	17	45%	0.03	9	-0.23	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	30.2	15.3	31.0	0.2	41.9	144.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +50.6%

ATL +8.1%

TOR -8.4%

TOR -2.7%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	13.4	13.3	14.4	112.0	111.1	111.3
season	14.7	14.2		112.8	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		111.2	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.9	14.1	15.0	12.4	13.4
TOR	13.8	12.0	12.7	14.7	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	60	63	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-10	21	12.6	14.3	-1.69	13.2	13.5	-0.34
John Collins	63	66	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.58	9	-8	17	12.9	13.9	-1.00	13.6	12.8	0.83
Danilo Gallinari	63	63	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.48	10	-9	19	13.4	13.3	0.03	13.9	12.5	1.45
Kevin Huerter	74	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.59	5	-4	9	12.7	14.7	-1.93	12.7	14.6	-1.90
Trae Young	84	86	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.69	-5	6	-11	12.9	15.1	-2.23	13.0	14.5	-1.43
Rajon Rondo	24	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.22	6	-5	11	15.1	12.9	2.23	14.5	13.0	1.43
Onyeka Okongwu	23	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.22	6	-5	11	14.9	12.9	1.98	14.5	13.0	1.44
Bogdan Bogdanovic	34	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.12	-4	5	-9	14.7	12.7	1.93	14.6	12.7	1.90
Solomon Hill	50	47	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	11	-21	14.1	12.7	1.36	13.2	13.4	-0.14
Clint Capela	65	64	-0.58	1.08	-1.65	0.10	-23	24	-47	13.3	13.4	-0.07	12.2	14.9	-2.73

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Watson	45	44	0.40	-0.90	1.31	-0.06	16	-17	33	13.0	13.6	-0.58	14.8	12.3	2.51
Yuta Watanabe	15	15	0.36	-0.86	1.21	-0.03	13	-14	27	15.0	13.0	1.96	16.8	12.8	4.00
Matt Thomas	1	1	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-3	5	9.0	13.4	-4.36	1.0	13.5	-12.47
Terence Davis	25	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	2	-5	11.6	13.8	-2.18	11.5	14.0	-2.49
Aron Baynes	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	9	-19	12.8	14.3	-1.45	12.8	14.4	-1.51
Norman Powell	87	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	13.0	14.7	-1.74	13.5	12.5	1.05
Chris Boucher	68	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.61	5	-6	11	13.3	13.3	0.02	13.1	13.9	-0.81
DeAndre' Bembry	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	5	-11	14.4	10.5	3.90	13.4	13.1	0.31
Stanley Johnson	59	57	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.44	-11	10	-21	13.9	12.7	1.21	13.7	13.0	0.70
Kyle Lowry	91	91	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.42	-14	13	-27	13.1	14.3	-1.16	12.9	15.8	-2.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.72,0.94,0.99,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.73,0	90.1%
MIA 113, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.91,0	89.6%
CHI 116, CHA 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.97,1,0	89.6%