NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	7.7 [272]		MVP	Ruben Garces (PHX): +24.0%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	2499.0 [1]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): -34.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Garces	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24	0.03	0.22	0.01	2	83%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Paul McPherson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	12	63%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.02	0.06	12	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Santiago	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	3	80%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Chris Dudley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	6	44%	-0.04	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	17	33%	-0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.23	-0.07	-0.20	-0.03	13	67%	-0.05	8	-0.19	7	86%	-0.08

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	7	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	9	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	10	54%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.29	-0.02	13	44%	-0.07	2	-0.28	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	27.1	15.4	27.8	1.8	41.4	139.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.9%

DEN -1.7%

PHX +32.2%

PHX +7.4%

DEN -21.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	15.5	101.0	98.0	100.9
season	14.9	15.2		97.7	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	14.7	15.8	10.9	13.6
DEN	16.2	17.4	13.0	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Garces	19	20	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.53	18	-15	33	7.9	15.0	-7.00	12.8	15.4	-2.53
Paul McPherson	23	25	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.51	17	-14	31	9.7	14.8	-5.04	14.2	15.1	-0.85
Tony Delk	57	57	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.50	13	-10	23	12.4	15.3	-2.94	15.2	14.5	0.72
Shawn Marion	94	94	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	13.6	13.4	0.22	14.9	15.0	-0.13
Jason Kidd	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	13.4	15.0	-1.55	14.3	19.1	-4.82
Chris Dudley	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	-1	5	14.9	13.1	1.85	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	3	-3	13.4	13.6	-0.22	15.0	14.9	0.13
Mario Elie	43	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	5	-7	15.5	12.3	3.23	15.7	14.3	1.38
Daniel Santiago	32	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.16	-5	8	-13	13.6	13.6	-0.01	15.4	14.7	0.73
Rodney Rogers	47	47	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.04	-15	18	-33	14.7	12.7	1.96	15.6	14.2	1.38
Clifford Robinson	64	63	-0.56	1.06	-1.61	0.00	-19	22	-41	15.5	10.4	5.09	15.0	14.6	0.40

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	47	46	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.07	11	-14	25	15.5	14.3	1.18	13.0	14.1	-1.08
Raef LaFrentz	64	66	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.12	8	-11	19	15.4	14.0	1.39	14.3	12.4	1.89
Keon Clark	56	57	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.15	6	-9	15	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.3	11.5	3.78
Robert Pack	40	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-4	5	14.9	14.9	-0.01	12.4	14.4	-2.04
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	41	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.56	9	-12	21	14.3	15.2	-0.91	16.0	12.0	4.01
Terry Davis	23	21	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	9	-21	14.9	14.9	-0.02	11.5	14.2	-2.72
James Posey	57	56	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	0	-3	13.9	16.1	-2.18	14.2	12.9	1.30
Nick Van Exel	61	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.53	-4	1	-5	14.9	14.9	0.01	14.4	12.4	2.04
Voshon Lenard	62	61	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	13	-29	15.0	14.7	0.27	11.9	16.2	-4.29
George McCloud	54	55	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.44	-15	12	-27	14.9	14.9	0.06	12.0	15.6	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.82,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, CHA 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0	90.1%
MIN 94, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	89.3%
DAL 81, MEM 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.64,0.76,0.42,0	89.0%