NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	7.7 [311]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +36.1%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	1.5 [723]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.21	0.14	-0.01	21	69%	0.40	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	17	54%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	3	67%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.11,0,-0.07,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	14	43%	0.05	7	-0.25	7	100%	0.09

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.14	0.02	15	71%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	5	82%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	0.00	10	58%	0.32	4	-0.18	4	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KZ Okpala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	55%	0.14	5	-0.19	5	80%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.2	14.8	24.7	1.8	39.4	133.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.2%

ATL -5.7%

ATL -1.7%

MIA +6.1%

MIA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	14.4	102.1	113.5	111.3
season	14.7	14.6		112.8	109.3
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	14.8	14.8	15.5	15.2
MIA	13.1	15.2	15.2	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	71	71	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-19	28	14.9	15.9	-0.97	15.5	12.2	3.39
John Collins	75	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-17	24	14.9	16.2	-1.30	15.1	13.1	1.99
Tony Snell	69	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-15	20	14.3	17.2	-2.87	15.1	13.6	1.50
Onyeka Okongwu	6	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-6	2	17.2	15.0	2.12	10.6	15.0	-4.42
Skylar Mays	9	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-2	-6	16.2	15.1	1.15	10.0	15.1	-5.09
Clint Capela	72	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-9	8	15.1	15.3	-0.14	15.1	13.5	1.60
Kevin Huerter	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.7	-1.84	15.2	11.7	3.46
Solomon Hill	36	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	9	-28	16.4	14.4	1.97	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Rajon Rondo	25	25	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.01	-17	7	-24	16.4	14.7	1.70	12.2	15.5	-3.39
Danilo Gallinari	40	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	8	-26	15.8	14.7	1.11	13.8	15.3	-1.49

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Herro	58	60	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.19	19	-9	28	14.4	15.1	-0.64	15.3	14.9	0.37
Andre Iguodala	44	44	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	14.0	15.2	-1.19	15.7	14.8	0.89
Gabe Vincent	32	33	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-6	22	13.8	15.1	-1.23	16.6	14.4	2.17
Bam Adebayo	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	3	4	14.9	14.0	0.93	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Duncan Robinson	69	70	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	8	-6	14.3	15.6	-1.29	15.4	14.5	0.91
Precious Achiuwa	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	13.6	15.1	-1.50	16.1	14.9	1.21
Kendrick Nunn	68	67	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	11	-12	15.1	13.5	1.60	14.7	16.1	-1.39
KZ Okpala	4	4	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	6	-2	15.0	14.7	0.35	18.5	15.0	3.47
Goran Dragic	61	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	14	-18	15.2	13.7	1.54	14.2	16.8	-2.59
Kelly Olynyk	50	50	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	20	-30	15.4	13.9	1.53	14.7	15.7	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.67,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.52,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.92,1	92.3%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	92.0%
UTA 108, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	91.8%