NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	7.6 [316]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +32.4%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.3 [1035]		LVP	Devin Harris (UTA): -18.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.31	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.31	0.25	0.10	0.04	18	73%	0.34	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	23	33%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	15	35%	-0.07	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.11	0.00	14	78%	0.35	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.01	18	63%	0.21	2	-0.03	18	100%	0.10
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	11	64%	0.19	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	31%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	29.3	16.4	26.4	1.4	38.5	136.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.2%

HOU +25.0%

UTA -5.1%

HOU +8.4%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.5	111.3	115.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.2		106.4	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.3	13.5	17.0	14.8	14.9
HOU	14.5	15.3	14.3	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	45	44	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-7	12	14.2	15.5	-1.34	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Gordon Hayward	26	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-1	0	16.3	14.3	2.01	15.2	15.1	0.05
Devin Harris	63	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-3	4	14.1	16.3	-2.14	15.0	15.4	-0.35
Earl Watson	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.1	2.14	15.4	15.0	0.35
Derrick Favors	37	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	5	-12	16.5	13.9	2.56	15.2	15.1	0.08
Paul Millsap	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.47	7	-9	16	14.0	19.1	-5.07	15.2	14.5	0.78
CJ Miles	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	0	-2	14.2	16.5	-2.30	15.3	14.6	0.75
Al Jefferson	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	3	-8	15.0	14.2	0.79	15.1	15.0	0.10
Raja Bell	56	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.44	-5	3	-8	15.6	13.9	1.77	15.6	14.4	1.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	83	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-4	10	15.4	13.4	1.96	14.5	17.2	-2.72
Patrick Patterson	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-5	12	15.8	14.3	1.55	15.5	14.1	1.44
Courtney Lee	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	2	-2	15.3	14.3	0.98	15.0	14.3	0.71
Kyle Lowry	87	88	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	2	-2	15.1	14.9	0.27	14.7	16.4	-1.73
Charles Hayes	74	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	-1	4	14.4	17.7	-3.26	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Jordan Hill	21	22	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	3	-4	17.7	14.4	3.26	16.1	14.5	1.63
Chase Budinger	20	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	14.4	15.3	-0.92	13.6	15.2	-1.67
Goran Dragic	16	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.58	18.3	14.1	4.24
Luis Scola	43	44	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	7	-12	14.3	15.8	-1.55	14.1	15.5	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.4%
ORL 83, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
ATL 90, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%