NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	136		Excitement	4.6 [780]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): +20.3%
Sacramento Kings	125		Comeback	1.4 [796]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): -7.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.20	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.29	0.02	0.10	22	83%	0.27	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.05
Landry Shamet	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.02	-0.05	10	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	18	74%	0.21	7	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	10	65%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	13	78%	0.22	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.17	-0.01	0.11	13	85%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.17	-0.00	0.15	15	79%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	27.6	15.4	25.5	2.3	24.3	121.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +64.1%

SAC -10.0%

SAC -6.5%

BKN +2.7%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAC	NBA	BKN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	13.2	14.4	137.4	125.0	111.3
season	14.1	14.0		116.6	112.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		115.9	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.9	16.8	16.3	16.4	15.7
SAC	11.4	13.9	15.0	12.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	72	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.28	32	-21	53	15.7	15.8	-0.09	13.5	12.4	1.15
DeAndre Jordan	55	54	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-11	33	15.8	15.7	0.12	13.5	12.8	0.71
Joe Harris	51	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-6	23	14.8	16.7	-1.87	13.7	12.7	1.04
Tyler Johnson	46	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	16.7	14.9	1.77	12.7	13.7	-0.96
Kyrie Irving	64	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.63	13.2	13.3	-0.07
Landry Shamet	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	14	-17	16.5	14.8	1.67	12.8	13.8	-1.06
Bruce Brown	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	15	-19	15.0	16.6	-1.66	13.8	12.5	1.36
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	17	-23	16.7	14.8	1.87	12.7	13.7	-1.04
Jeff Green	50	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	25	-39	15.6	15.9	-0.30	12.8	13.7	-0.91

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DaQuan Jeffries	23	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.46	18	-29	47	13.3	13.2	0.07	16.6	15.5	1.10
Glenn Robinson III	42	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.43	14	-25	39	13.1	13.3	-0.20	17.0	14.8	2.18
Nemanja Bjelica	10	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-6	1	13.3	13.2	0.10	19.2	15.4	3.82
Marvin Bagley III	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.15	-9	-2	-7	13.6	12.9	0.68	16.0	15.6	0.41
Buddy Hield	74	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	4	-19	12.7	14.6	-1.90	15.3	17.0	-1.72
Hassan Whiteside	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-11	11	13.4	13.0	0.37	16.2	15.4	0.80
Tyrese Haliburton	64	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	12.8	14.0	-1.19	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Cory Joseph	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-9	7	13.7	12.3	1.45	15.8	15.6	0.21
De'Aaron Fox	73	72	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	10	-31	13.2	13.3	-0.17	14.9	18.1	-3.20
Harrison Barnes	60	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.21	-25	14	-39	13.4	12.9	0.43	15.1	16.7	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 109, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
TOR 103, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.8%
MIL 104, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%