NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	4.2 [948]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +19.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.5 [1123]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -13.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	0.03	0.07	19	85%	0.23	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	91%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Scott Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	17	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	69%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	1	0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	1	100%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	17	34%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	23.2	15.6	28.0	1.6	25.4	119.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.4%

MIL +0.2%

MIL +4.7%

MIL +3.1%

MIL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	16.3	15.2	108.3	86.7	101.7
season	14.9	15.6		105.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.4		107.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.1	11.5	12.6	15.6	13.4
LAC	17.2	15.6	17.9	14.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	71	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-2	23	12.9	14.8	-1.88	17.1	13.8	3.26
Glenn Robinson	57	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	2	15	12.5	14.7	-2.21	17.5	14.6	2.87
Ervin Johnson	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	3	13	13.2	13.8	-0.59	16.9	15.4	1.49
Ray Allen	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	1	17	13.4	13.6	-0.21	17.1	13.5	3.57
Darvin Ham	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	-2	23	14.0	12.4	1.63	17.1	15.0	2.04
Rafer Alston	43	44	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	20	-21	13.7	13.2	0.44	14.3	17.9	-3.56
Tim Thomas	45	48	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	13	-7	14.1	12.8	1.28	14.8	17.6	-2.79
Scott Williams	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	16	-13	11.7	13.7	-2.06	16.9	16.1	0.83
Danny Manning	41	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.20	-5	24	-29	12.7	13.9	-1.26	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Robert Traylor	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	17.9	12.8	5.15	12.2	16.9	-4.64
Mirsad Turkcan	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	22.7	13.1	9.56	4.3	16.6	-12.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	41	39	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-21	23	15.8	16.6	-0.82	12.8	13.8	-0.99
Etdrick Bohannon	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-18	17	16.4	16.2	0.23	12.3	13.7	-1.41
Charles R. Jones	33	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-19	19	14.9	16.9	-2.03	14.1	13.1	1.07
Eric Piatkowski	58	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-12	5	14.6	18.6	-4.00	13.8	12.8	0.95
Pete Chilcutt	32	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-6	-7	16.6	16.1	0.55	12.0	14.1	-2.09
Michael Olowokandi	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-4	-11	16.6	15.6	1.02	14.3	11.6	2.70
Jeff McInnis	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.02	-16	-3	-13	16.3	16.0	0.31	13.8	11.4	2.50
Derek Anderson	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	2	-23	17.3	12.7	4.59	13.0	14.8	-1.83
Tyrone Nesby	87	86	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.11	-24	5	-29	16.6	13.2	3.46	13.2	15.1	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
HOU 123, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NOK 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%