NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	8.6 [185]		MVP	John Collins (ATL): +36.8%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	8.7 [211]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): -34.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.37	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37	0.26	0.13	0.01	18	79%	0.39	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Huerter	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.27	0.16	0.11	0.01	15	72%	0.27	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	22	50%	0.18	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Solomon Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.05
Danilo Gallinari	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.34	-0.04	-0.30	0.00	12	37%	-0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.14	0.16	0.00	10	76%	0.29	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.15	0.01	6	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	6	87%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	18	57%	0.18	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	18	61%	0.29	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.4	28.5	15.6	29.8	2.8	33.0	141.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +74.4%

ATL -15.1%

ATL -11.6%

ATL -7.0%

DAL +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.4	119.4	120.4	111.3
season	14.7	15.0		112.8	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	12.4	15.9	16.0	14.4
DAL	13.8	14.8	16.1	15.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skylar Mays	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-1	1	0.0	14.4	-14.44	10.0	15.0	-5.00
Clint Capela	43	45	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-2	3	14.1	14.7	-0.66	15.1	14.8	0.30
Brandon Goodwin	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	2	-5	12.8	14.6	-1.83	12.6	15.2	-2.64
Tony Snell	56	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.26	4	-5	9	14.0	15.0	-1.02	15.2	14.5	0.70
Solomon Hill	20	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	10	-21	14.4	14.4	0.01	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Onyeka Okongwu	12	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	12	-25	17.3	14.0	3.30	12.4	15.2	-2.84
John Collins	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.61	11	-12	23	14.3	15.1	-0.89	15.3	13.7	1.57
Cam Reddish	55	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-1	1	14.6	14.3	0.33	14.5	15.5	-1.05
Trae Young	85	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.59	7	-8	15	14.4	15.0	-0.65	15.1	14.1	0.99
Kevin Huerter	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.50	1	-2	3	14.8	13.6	1.21	15.5	13.7	1.79
Danilo Gallinari	62	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	1	-3	14.6	14.2	0.43	14.8	15.1	-0.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Cauley-Stein	46	48	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.39	19	-18	37	15.0	14.9	0.01	14.7	14.1	0.61
Tim Hardaway Jr.	57	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-9	19	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.8	13.8	0.99
Luka Doncic	74	75	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-8	17	15.1	14.6	0.48	14.4	14.5	-0.05
Dorian Finney-Smith	75	77	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-7	15	15.1	14.6	0.44	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Jalen Brunson	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-6	13	14.7	15.3	-0.60	14.7	14.1	0.57
Dwight Powell	10	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-3	7	14.7	15.0	-0.28	17.6	14.1	3.43
Trey Burke	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	15.5	14.9	0.57	11.6	14.8	-3.16
Josh Richardson	62	60	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.29	-14	15	-29	15.0	14.8	0.23	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Kristaps Porzingis	41	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.10	-10	11	-21	15.0	14.9	0.00	14.3	14.5	-0.15
Maxi Kleber	54	51	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	0.10	-24	25	-49	15.4	14.4	1.02	13.9	15.1	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.83,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 94, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.73,0.81,0.54,0.67,0.74,1	92.5%
HOU 100, VAN 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	90.8%
NOK 88, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.42,1	90.8%