NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +60.7%
Vancouver Grizzlies	102		Comeback	27.1 [31]		LVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): -16.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,-0.05,0,0.04,0,0.26	0.01	0.22	-0.03	24	60%	0.41	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	10	73%	0.15	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	90%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	11	69%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Moochie Norris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.03	-0.01	10	39%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.05
Kenny Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	10	42%	-0.04	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.61	0.61	0.08	0.54	0.01	20	61%	0.66	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	17	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	18	45%	-0.06	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	26.6	17.7	27.0	2.4	41.4	142.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +1.8%

HOU -1.0%

VAN +2.3%

VAN +38.1%

VAN +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	VAN	NBA	HOU	VAN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.2	101.0	102.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.9		102.4	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.6		105.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	12.8	16.0	14.1	14.5
VAN	14.2	17.2	12.8	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	38	40	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.12	14	-16	30	13.8	15.0	-1.21	16.0	13.3	2.69
Kelvin Cato	75	75	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.26	17	-19	36	14.6	14.4	0.16	14.6	13.8	0.87
Shandon Anderson	67	68	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-8	14	14.5	14.7	-0.22	13.2	16.9	-3.72
Bryce Drew	18	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	13.7	14.7	-0.99	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Matt Bullard	46	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	8	-18	14.5	14.6	-0.15	14.5	14.3	0.23
Kenny Thomas	74	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.9	13.4	1.57	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Moochie Norris	35	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.3	0.63	15.3	13.9	1.38
Steve Francis	83	84	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.45	-9	7	-16	14.9	12.6	2.35	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Cuttino Mobley	59	59	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.37	-17	15	-32	14.1	15.2	-1.12	14.6	14.1	0.49

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	56	57	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.34	21	-19	40	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.6	14.5	0.06
Dennis Scott	50	50	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-9	20	15.0	13.8	1.14	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Mike Bibby	86	86	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-4	10	14.0	17.0	-3.01	14.8	13.1	1.68
Michael Dickerson	80	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	1	0	13.8	16.9	-3.11	14.8	13.5	1.34
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	100	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.4	0.0	14.41	14.5	0.0	14.54
Obinna Ekezie	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	-3	8	12.4	15.1	-2.73	16.4	13.9	2.43
Milt Palacio	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	17.0	14.0	3.01	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Othella Harrington	16	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	7	-12	14.7	14.4	0.33	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Cherokee Parks	15	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	12	-22	14.4	14.4	-0.01	14.7	14.5	0.15
Bryant Reeves	58	57	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.08	-17	19	-36	15.8	12.5	3.29	14.1	15.2	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, CLE 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.41,0.6,0.72,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.96,1	93.4%
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	91.2%
BOS 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	90.9%