inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 106 Excitement8.7 [171] MVPDeMar DeRozan (SAS): +40.1%
San Antonio Spurs 110 Comeback3.7 [242] LVPMarcus Smart (BOS): -13.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Theis0.140,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.140.020.120.00383%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.06-0.01844%0.0900.002100%0.01
Jayson Tatum0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08-0.030.08-0.032546%0.143-0.05475%0.02
Grant Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.001150%0.0500.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.000.00283%0.0500.002100%0.01
Robert Williams III0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.003100%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.010.09-0.08-0.001955%0.0100.00683%-0.01
Carsen Edwards0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Javonte Green-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.110,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.11-0.02-0.080.011547%0.052-0.1600%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14-0.02-0.100.011547%-0.092-0.0500%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.40.400.140.280.01895%0.503-0.10683%0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.020.011462%0.1200.00425%-0.04
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0,0.11,0.110.110.060.05-0.001464%0.162-0.0500%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.050.05-0.030.07-0.01835%0.0500.00475%0.04
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.020.020.07-0.05-0.00978%0.162-0.1500%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0-0.00-0.060.05-0.001146%0.103-0.10250%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.00-0.001155%0.093-0.1100%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.012100%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Devin Vassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.01-0.01530%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.423.114.425.81.835.1128.1
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +75.5%
SAS +0.3%
SAS +7.3%
BOS -34.9%
SAS +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game14.414.314.4105.0110.0111.3
season14.514.6112.8109.8
opponent14.214.5111.3111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.915.213.415.714.4
SAS17.110.916.613.114.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Teague18170.08-0.580.66-0.044-81214.814.30.5810.215.1-4.90
Aaron Nesmith11100.05-0.550.61-0.002-6813.514.5-0.9116.914.02.89
Carsen Edwards88-0.02-0.480.470.07-3-1-213.514.4-0.9317.714.03.75
Tristan Thompson4544-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-6814.414.30.1216.013.03.00
Grant Williams2323-0.06-0.440.37-0.215-91415.214.11.0614.714.20.51
Jayson Tatum7271-0.11-0.390.29-0.4311-152613.516.4-2.8914.513.80.67
Javonte Green2929-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-4415.513.91.5811.115.6-4.50
Semi Ojeleye3031-0.19-0.310.130.02-73-1016.413.52.9512.515.1-2.54
Daniel Theis2626-0.20-0.300.11-0.200-4412.914.9-1.9814.814.10.74
Robert Williams III3030-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-62-815.513.91.6711.415.6-4.19
Jaylen Brown7474-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.23-1-3213.816.0-2.2415.510.84.67
Marcus Smart8180-0.680.18-0.86-0.36-117-1814.414.20.2015.210.74.50
Kemba Walker5857-0.680.18-0.86-0.21-1612-2814.314.5-0.2313.914.8-0.90

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills58601.13-0.631.770.6915-112612.217.2-4.9814.713.80.97
Keldon Johnson64650.53-0.030.560.308-41215.612.03.5513.815.4-1.60
Dejounte Murray77770.370.130.240.49-48-1214.314.3-0.0114.214.7-0.52
DeMar DeRozan71710.280.220.060.1931215.511.53.9713.715.9-2.20
LaMarcus Aldridge56590.250.25-0.01-0.029-51415.512.72.8114.214.5-0.29
Jakob Poeltl43400.100.40-0.300.34-812-2013.015.3-2.2815.113.91.19
Devin Vassell3333-0.120.62-0.740.08-711-1813.514.7-1.1314.214.5-0.30
Lonnie Walker IV6162-0.170.67-0.83-0.315-1615.412.62.7215.013.41.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.86,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.33,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 76, NJN 770.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.32,0.58,190.2%
MIN 99, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.58,188.7%
NYK 84, MIA 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.42,188.4%