NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	84		Excitement	8.5 [174]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +27.6%
Miami Heat	88		Comeback	2.8 [559]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -27.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.16	0.01	14	54%	0.21	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Herb Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.03	0.04	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.10
Larry Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.06	-0.10	0.04	6	73%	0.05	1	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1	0.06	-0.09	0.07	11	62%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.27,-0.21,-0.15,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	20	37%	-0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Buck Williams	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.08	-0.02	0.10	7	24%	-0.18	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05
Charles Oakley	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22	-0.05	-0.12	0.05	10	48%	-0.15	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.18	0.01	24	62%	0.34	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	4	67%	0.20	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Keith Askins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	5	42%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.04	6	53%	-0.07	3	-0.09	3	100%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	14	59%	0.15	9	-0.43	13	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	2.0	34.1	17.4	29.5	2.5	39.3	155.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +77.0%

NYK -2.7%

MIA +11.9%

NYK -44.2%

MIA +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.6	96.6	100.0	104.4
season	15.1	15.8		102.0	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.1		98.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	17.0	15.7	17.3	16.5
MIA	15.1	16.5	17.0	17.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	54	57	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.36	15	-19	34	16.3	16.9	-0.66	16.4	16.3	0.10
Buck Williams	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	2	-8	16.0	17.3	-1.34	14.4	18.9	-4.46
Charles Oakley	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-10	16	16.9	15.5	1.32	17.9	11.5	6.39
Herb Williams	7	6	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	4	-12	16.6	16.5	0.05	12.2	16.7	-4.53
Chris Childs	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-4	4	16.1	18.2	-2.15	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Patrick Ewing	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	16.7	16.3	0.31	16.8	15.8	0.97
Charlie Ward	23	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	4	-12	18.1	16.0	2.12	15.7	16.6	-0.88
John Starks	40	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	9	-22	17.0	16.1	0.96	16.4	16.4	0.02
Allan Houston	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	2	-8	16.4	17.5	-1.16	16.7	14.6	2.09

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Crotty	42	40	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-9	22	16.6	16.2	0.35	16.9	16.2	0.64
Tim Hardaway	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	16.4	16.2	0.15	16.4	18.3	-1.91
Dan Majerle	42	42	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	15.3	17.4	-2.06	17.1	16.0	1.19
Jamal Mashburn	58	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	5	-6	16.7	15.7	0.99	15.8	17.8	-2.04
Ike Austin	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-1	6	15.6	17.1	-1.48	17.0	16.1	0.84
Alonzo Mourning	77	79	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	3	-2	16.1	18.5	-2.36	16.9	13.0	3.89
Voshon Lenard	40	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	1	2	17.3	15.6	1.67	16.1	16.9	-0.82
P.J. Brown	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.40	-11	15	-26	17.5	15.5	2.01	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Keith Askins	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	5	-6	16.0	16.5	-0.50	16.7	16.5	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.91,1	89.2%
NJN 79, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.55,0.33,0.42,1	89.1%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,1	89.0%