NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	8.4 [219]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +36.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	4.9 [606]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -20.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.34,0.34	0.09	0.25	-0.00	6	92%	0.36	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.13	0.09	0.03	7	100%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.01	0.17	0.00	14	62%	0.27	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.10
Brian Grant	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	13	53%	-0.01	4	-0.10	8	37%	-0.08
Kobe Bryant	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2	-0.12	-0.15	-0.07	33	41%	-0.12	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.24	0.01	24	63%	0.41	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.18,0.2	0.20	-0.00	0.20	-0.00	26	48%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	11	75%	0.22	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	17	47%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	24.3	15.8	24.2	2.4	34.5	129.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +7.2%

PHX +15.7%

PHX +15.4%

PHX +10.8%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	18.3	13.7	15.5	112.1	120.2	104.0
season	15.7	13.5		105.8	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.3		106.2	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.6	19.1	19.2	17.3	18.3
PHX	15.0	12.2	14.2	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	69	67	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.16	7	-12	19	18.4	17.9	0.57	14.2	11.9	2.38
Slava Medvedenko	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-1	-3	21.0	18.1	2.86	16.0	13.5	2.46
Kareem Rush	9	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	3	-11	19.6	18.2	1.40	12.7	13.7	-0.99
Brian Cook	42	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-10	15	16.5	19.9	-3.43	14.0	13.4	0.56
Chucky Atkins	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	18.6	17.4	1.15	13.0	15.5	-2.52
Brian Grant	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	1	-7	19.7	16.9	2.81	13.2	14.1	-0.97
Tierre Brown	23	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	3	-11	17.4	18.6	-1.15	15.5	13.0	2.52
Lamar Odom	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	18.2	18.9	-0.70	13.5	14.9	-1.38
Kobe Bryant	86	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	18.4	17.0	1.37	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Luke Walton	29	28	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	7	-19	17.6	18.6	-1.04	13.0	14.0	-1.00

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	49	47	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.44	20	-15	35	12.9	14.5	-1.59	17.0	19.7	-2.73
Steve Nash	73	75	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	12.7	17.9	-5.23	18.8	15.8	3.01
Shawn Marion	84	86	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	13.5	17.0	-3.55	18.6	12.8	5.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	80	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	2	1	13.6	13.7	-0.09	18.5	16.8	1.68
Joe Johnson	68	71	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	9	-13	13.9	13.0	0.85	18.6	17.2	1.34
Steven Hunter	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	6	-7	14.7	13.4	1.34	15.6	18.9	-3.32
Leandro Barbosa	16	16	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	17.9	12.7	5.23	15.8	18.8	-3.01
Quentin Richardson	61	64	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.10	-6	11	-17	14.0	12.9	1.11	18.9	16.8	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	90.5%
LAC 94, VAN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.53,1	90.4%
PHI 83, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.41,1	89.9%