NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	6.9 [413]		MVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): +12.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	2.2 [887]		LVP	Robert Traylor (CLE): -15.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	23	63%	0.18	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.03
Hanno Mottola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	6	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	14	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	10	46%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	14	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.12	0.12	-0.05	0.16	-0.01	18	46%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	5	100%	0.13	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.03
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	28.2	15.6	25.0	1.5	32.5	128.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.7%

CLE +17.0%

CLE +7.2%

ATL -4.5%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.5	96.8	106.6	100.9
season	15.4	15.3		96.0	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	18.6	16.1	17.3	16.8
CLE	13.5	14.8	16.6	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	61	60	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.33	12	-19	31	16.8	16.8	-0.06	16.3	11.0	5.37
Dion Glover	22	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-10	13	16.0	17.0	-0.95	13.8	14.7	-0.97
Chris Crawford	3	3	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-5	3	18.7	16.7	1.96	16.3	14.4	1.89
Larry Robinson	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-1	-5	14.0	17.8	-3.74	12.1	15.4	-3.29
Matt Maloney	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-9	11	16.7	16.9	-0.14	14.7	13.5	1.20
Lorenzen Wright	31	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	4	-15	16.7	16.8	-0.05	14.0	14.7	-0.78
Dikembe Mutombo	71	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-6	5	17.5	14.3	3.22	14.7	14.0	0.67
Jason Terry	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	16.9	15.7	1.18	14.8	12.4	2.37
DerMarr Johnson	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	1	-9	17.0	16.2	0.77	15.0	13.2	1.82
Hanno Mottola	32	31	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	12	-31	16.8	16.8	0.06	11.0	16.3	-5.37

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	80	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	15.1	10.5	4.61	17.0	15.1	1.94
Lamond Murray	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	0	7	14.6	14.2	0.42	16.8	16.6	0.25
Clar. Weatherspoon	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	15.1	13.5	1.56	17.0	16.4	0.58
Matt Harpring	53	52	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	15.3	13.3	2.00	15.8	18.0	-2.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	9	-11	15.4	13.4	2.03	16.9	16.6	0.33
Chris Gatling	36	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	1	5	13.9	14.9	-0.97	16.9	16.7	0.29
Trajan Langdon	25	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	11.8	15.5	-3.73	17.1	16.6	0.43
Robert Traylor	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	14.1	14.8	-0.72	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Cedric Henderson	45	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.13	3	4	-1	13.0	16.0	-3.07	16.8	16.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.84,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 87, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.3%
CHI 98, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.92,1	92.1%
MIA 94, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.97,1,1	91.7%