NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	94		Excitement	7.6 [341]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +30.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	2.1 [316]		LVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): -18.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.18	0.11	-0.01	19	70%	0.36	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney McGruder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Tyler Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	13	36%	-0.00	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.04
Josh Richardson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	0.03	11	17%	-0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.09	-0.03	13	63%	0.24	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.07	0.05	8	95%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	13	52%	0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.12	0.00	13	35%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	7	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.7	34.9	15.0	28.5	2.6	32.7	139.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +69.5%

MIA -5.5%

MIA -20.1%

PHI +3.9%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.6	14.8	103.3	111.0	107.7
season	15.4	14.5		106.7	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.5		107.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.5	15.0	16.3	16.4	16.0
PHI	14.8	15.7	14.4	17.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Whiteside	63	65	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.15	8	-15	23	14.7	18.9	-4.11	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Derrick Williams	36	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-11	15	16.6	15.6	0.95	15.0	16.1	-1.05
James Johnson	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	18.7	14.8	3.88	17.0	15.0	1.98
Rodney McGruder	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-4	1	18.5	14.7	3.70	17.3	14.7	2.58
Josh McRoberts	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	0	-7	20.3	14.7	5.56	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Goran Dragic	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	14.7	20.0	-5.32	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Dion Waiters	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-5	3	14.6	19.7	-5.06	14.9	17.6	-2.72
Luke Babbitt	22	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	0	-7	13.4	16.8	-3.43	16.1	15.5	0.66
Udonis Haslem	7	6	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	1	-9	14.6	16.1	-1.56	18.0	15.5	2.53
Josh Richardson	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	16.5	15.2	1.33	14.6	17.4	-2.83
Tyler Johnson	54	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.7	15.0	1.66	16.5	14.4	2.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ McConnell	26	27	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.30	14	-7	21	15.8	15.6	0.29	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Ersan Ilyasova	62	62	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Gerald Henderson	61	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-3	13	15.1	16.8	-1.68	16.7	14.7	1.97
Robert Covington	61	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-1	9	15.2	16.5	-1.34	15.1	18.0	-2.87
Joel Embiid	48	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	13.7	17.8	-4.04	16.5	15.5	0.99
Sergio Rodriguez	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	4	-1	13.6	17.2	-3.58	16.9	15.4	1.51
Jahlil Okafor	43	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	6	-5	17.8	13.7	4.04	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Hollis Thompson	20	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	16.3	15.4	0.91	16.6	15.9	0.72
Nik Stauskas	39	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	7	-7	16.8	14.8	2.03	16.4	15.7	0.70
Dario Saric	29	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	11	-15	16.7	15.1	1.60	17.1	15.5	1.60
Jerryd Bayless	27	27	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	19	-31	18.4	14.5	3.99	14.8	16.5	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.9,0.94,0.98,1	92.9%
TOR 92, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.98,1	92.3%
SEA 93, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.95,1	92.2%