NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	7.2 [364]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +38.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	3.6 [434]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -18.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.01	0.11	-0.03	10	48%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	13	63%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	26	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	17	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	0	0%	-0.08	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.08

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.38	0.38	0.15	0.20	-0.03	39	62%	0.48	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.06
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	7	25%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.4	28.5	20.4	24.6	3.5	36.5	140.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -7.4%

PHI +37.8%

PHI +16.6%

PHI +3.3%

TOR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.5	98.9	109.0	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		103.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	17.0	16.9	15.0	15.4
PHI	16.4	15.7	15.2	17.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	14.2	15.5	-1.34	13.7	16.4	-2.77
Charles Oakley	52	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-11	17	14.0	17.2	-3.26	16.5	15.9	0.56
Jerome Williams	24	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	17.4	14.7	2.64	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Keon Clark	17	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	4	-13	17.1	15.1	2.01	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Chris Childs	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-3	1	15.7	15.1	0.63	16.3	16.1	0.17
Dell Curry	50	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	1	-7	15.3	15.5	-0.17	16.1	16.4	-0.29
Antonio Davis	87	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	15.5	14.2	1.34	16.6	12.3	4.30
Alvin Williams	83	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-4	3	15.1	18.0	-2.89	16.1	17.1	-0.96
Vince Carter	92	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-2	-1	15.6	0.0	15.59	16.2	18.0	-1.77

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	64	68	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	17.0	14.2	2.79	14.6	17.8	-3.20
Tyrone Hill	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-5	15	16.4	15.8	0.57	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Dikembe Mutombo	78	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-5	15	16.7	13.0	3.71	15.4	15.9	-0.50
Allen Iverson	88	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	16.4	4.0	12.39	15.5	9.0	6.49
Aaron McKie	59	61	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	5	-5	15.9	16.9	-0.98	15.7	14.8	0.93
Jumaine Jones	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.09	8	-3	11	14.8	16.8	-2.07	17.2	14.7	2.41
Todd MacCulloch	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	5	-5	18.0	16.2	1.84	20.3	15.3	5.08
Kevin Ollie	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	14	-23	13.0	16.7	-3.66	15.1	15.5	-0.36
George Lynch	53	55	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	18	-31	15.8	17.0	-1.22	15.8	14.9	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.81,0.71,0.97,1,1	93.3%
SAS 85, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.3%
ORL 85, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%