NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	6.9 [244]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +26.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	2.2 [163]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -18.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.08	0.01	13	87%	0.29	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	23	45%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	3	78%	0.04	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	15	39%	-0.11	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	6	33%	0.03	5	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.01	14	65%	0.19	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	6	87%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	23	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	13	77%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	15	42%	-0.04	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	25.2	16.8	25.2	2.4	31.2	127.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.0%

IND -1.1%

PHI +6.8%

PHI +26.8%

IND -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.8	91.2	103.3	99.6
season	16.4	15.6		105.4	97.0
opponent	15.9	16.0		94.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	15.9	16.5	15.8	16.1
PHI	16.5	14.1	16.2	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	45	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	15.9	16.3	-0.33	15.2	16.2	-0.94
Derrick McKey	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	15.0	16.5	-1.44	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Chris Mullin	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-8	6	17.2	15.5	1.68	18.3	14.3	4.02
Mark Jackson	51	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	15.7	16.6	-0.94	15.7	15.7	-0.04
Sam Perkins	25	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	14.4	16.7	-2.29	16.5	15.4	1.05
Rik Smits	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	16.4	15.5	0.88	15.7	15.7	0.08
Travis Best	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-4	-2	16.6	15.7	0.94	15.7	15.7	0.04
Jalen Rose	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	15.4	17.1	-1.75	14.5	17.6	-3.06
Reggie Miller	72	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	16.5	14.6	1.92	15.9	15.0	0.92
Dale Davis	52	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	1	-12	16.7	15.3	1.38	15.7	15.7	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	69	72	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.18	23	-13	36	16.4	13.4	2.99	16.7	13.7	2.99
Eric Snow	65	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-6	22	16.2	14.4	1.78	16.9	13.9	3.00
Aaron McKie	44	44	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	-6	22	15.0	16.4	-1.37	16.3	15.9	0.34
Allen Iverson	80	82	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	15.8	15.4	0.36	16.1	15.9	0.23
Matt Geiger	75	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	15.8	15.5	0.23	15.4	19.7	-4.27
Harvey Grant	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	9	-8	18.6	14.4	4.24	17.3	15.6	1.77
Jerald Honeycutt	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	15.3	15.8	-0.51	13.7	16.4	-2.70
Nazr Mohammed	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.0	15.8	-4.78	7.0	16.2	-9.20
Doug Overton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.0	15.8	-4.78	7.0	16.2	-9.20
Larry Hughes	41	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	16	-22	13.9	17.3	-3.43	14.6	17.4	-2.80
Tyrone Hill	35	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	16	-22	14.4	16.6	-2.16	16.6	15.8	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.81,0.71,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.98,1	93.3%
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%
SAS 85, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	92.2%