NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	7.2 [383]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +14.4%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	2.7 [930]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	17	64%	0.24	3	-0.13	10	80%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.01	0.01	15	63%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05
Kirk Hinrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.08	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.02	8	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	0.01	0.02	19	47%	0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.03	10	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.02	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.14	-0.02	23	50%	0.28	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	57%	0.03	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	30.7	14.6	31.1	1.8	35.0	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +4.8%

ATL +15.7%

ATL +26.3%

ATL +5.6%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.5	101.1	105.3	105.7
season	15.1	16.5		100.9	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.2	16.3	15.4	14.3	15.1
ATL	16.4	13.7	16.6	15.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	15.6	14.9	0.65	16.2	15.4	0.86
Trevor Booker	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	0	-4	12.9	15.2	-2.38	11.0	15.9	-4.94
Yi Jianlian	46	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-9	14	14.5	15.6	-1.19	16.2	15.0	1.23
Hilton Armstrong	17	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	12.6	15.6	-3.02	16.1	15.5	0.59
John Wall	85	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-7	10	14.6	19.1	-4.48	15.6	15.4	0.14
JaVale McGee	52	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.2	14.9	0.37	15.3	15.9	-0.65
Al Thornton	85	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-6	8	14.8	17.9	-3.12	15.6	15.5	0.08
Cartier Martin	17	16	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	9	-22	16.6	14.7	1.93	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Andray Blatche	64	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.51	0	-4	4	16.0	13.1	2.93	15.8	15.2	0.62
Kirk Hinrich	78	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	1	-6	15.6	12.4	3.17	15.5	15.8	-0.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	63	63	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-11	26	14.7	17.3	-2.51	15.4	14.5	0.91
Joe Johnson	84	85	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-10	24	15.3	18.2	-2.94	15.8	8.4	7.32
Jamal Crawford	67	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	5	-6	15.6	15.6	0.03	14.4	16.8	-2.46
Josh Smith	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	5	-6	15.1	16.7	-1.55	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Josh Powell	26	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	-1	6	16.7	15.1	1.55	15.6	14.9	0.71
Al Horford	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	10	-16	15.9	15.2	0.76	15.4	14.7	0.76
Jason Collins	11	12	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	-4	12	10.6	16.2	-5.59	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Zaza Pachulia	34	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	2	0	16.6	15.0	1.68	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Jeff Teague	28	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	10	-16	16.6	15.2	1.42	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Marvin Williams	40	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.10	-10	14	-24	16.8	14.6	2.18	14.8	15.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.9,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 94, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.97,1,1	92.9%
UTA 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	92.5%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.3%