NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	10.0 [74]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +64.1%
Atlanta Hawks	101		Comeback	4.1 [697]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -16.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.64	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.64	0.18	0.46	0.01	21	72%	0.73	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.23,0.11,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	12	82%	0.44	4	-0.22	9	100%	0.14
Trenton Hassell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.07
Rashad McCants	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Banks	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.48	0.48	-0.03	0.50	-0.01	7	48%	0.53	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.06
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.38	0.38	0.06	0.32	-0.00	12	67%	0.43	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.18	0.01	17	59%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.12
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	12	47%	0.07	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Grundy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	19	42%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.4	15.7	21.1	2.5	41.0	138.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.8%

MIN -32.0%

ATL +16.1%

ATL +21.2%

ATL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.6	110.0	111.0	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		101.0	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		109.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.9	18.3	13.0	16.9	15.9
ATL	16.1	15.2	16.5	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	21	21	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-4	6	17.7	15.4	2.30	12.8	16.9	-4.11
Marko Jaric	34	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	2	-6	16.4	15.6	0.73	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Kevin Garnett	61	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.45	14	-16	30	14.5	18.8	-4.32	16.9	14.1	2.82
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.50	12	-14	26	15.4	18.2	-2.88	15.8	16.6	-0.86
Justin Reed	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	6	-14	17.4	15.0	2.43	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Eddie Griffin	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	4	-10	17.6	15.0	2.60	15.0	16.4	-1.33
Mark Blount	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	3	-8	15.8	16.0	-0.20	16.8	15.3	1.50
Rashad McCants	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.55	9	-11	20	14.5	18.3	-3.84	17.4	13.3	4.06
Marcus Banks	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-2	2	15.4	17.0	-1.65	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Trenton Hassell	42	44	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.34	-24	22	-46	17.9	14.1	3.80	15.5	16.3	-0.73

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-7	16	14.7	19.1	-4.35	15.9	15.8	0.15
Zaza Pachulia	59	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	2	-2	16.6	14.7	1.86	15.1	17.6	-2.50
Tyronn Lue	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	0	2	15.3	17.0	-1.64	17.1	13.8	3.24
Marvin Williams	58	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	-3	8	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Joe Johnson	83	82	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	16.3	12.0	4.30	15.5	20.4	-4.91
Josh Smith	71	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	4	-6	16.8	12.8	4.00	16.6	13.2	3.35
Anthony Grundy	9	9	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-6	14	14.9	16.0	-1.15	16.4	15.8	0.60
Donta Smith	3	2	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	0	2	14.0	16.0	-1.99	9.0	16.1	-7.06
Royal Ivey	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	8	-14	17.6	15.4	2.20	13.8	16.5	-2.64
Esteban Batista	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	6	-10	15.0	16.3	-1.31	17.6	15.2	2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.62,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.73,1	90.9%
GSW 98, BKN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	88.7%
SAS 76, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.32,0.58,1	88.3%