NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	76		Excitement	9.3 [107]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +6.0%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	3.7 [338]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -45.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Speedy Claxton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
David Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	10	43%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Malik Rose	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	9	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.17	-0.06	-0.08	0.03	23	47%	-0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	24%	-0.11	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.21	-0.08	-0.01	12	12%	-0.23	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	15	53%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.43	-0.43	-0.18	-0.25	-0.01	18	38%	-0.16	5	-0.27	6	100%	0.09
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.17	-0.30	-0.01	16	45%	-0.23	5	-0.22	12	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.3	33.0	22.7	27.5	3.5	42.8	160.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +28.3%

NJN +12.4%

NJN +41.8%

SAS -24.0%

SAS -8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NJN	NBA	SAS	NJN	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.5	86.4	88.5	101.6
season	15.7	15.0		102.5	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		96.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	17.9	17.8	15.7	17.1
NJN	15.5	14.2	17.4	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	32	33	0.54	-1.04	1.58	0.04	17	-18	35	15.2	18.2	-3.01	16.5	15.4	1.14
David Robinson	40	40	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.21	1	-2	3	18.8	15.7	3.11	16.4	15.3	1.19
Danny Ferry	4	4	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-5	9	11.5	17.4	-5.87	2.2	16.5	-14.21
Bruce Bowen	72	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.39	12	-13	25	17.3	16.0	1.35	16.6	11.8	4.84
Steve Kerr	1	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-3	5	4.0	17.3	-13.25	1.0	16.2	-15.15
Manu Ginobili	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-3	5	16.5	18.0	-1.52	15.6	16.1	-0.57
Malik Rose	26	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	11	-23	18.1	16.7	1.44	15.0	16.2	-1.26
Tim Duncan	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-5	9	17.1	17.3	-0.26	16.5	12.7	3.82
Kevin Willis	34	31	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.67	3	-4	7	15.1	18.4	-3.28	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Stephen Jackson	51	48	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	17	-35	17.6	16.4	1.30	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Tony Parker	56	53	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.41	-20	19	-39	18.2	15.2	3.01	15.7	16.0	-0.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	70	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-6	13	16.0	14.9	1.07	17.1	16.9	0.20
Dikembe Mutombo	37	37	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-6	13	16.0	15.7	0.29	17.8	16.6	1.22
Jason Kidd	85	87	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-2	5	15.8	15.5	0.31	16.9	31.0	-14.06
Kerry Kittles	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	16.5	14.2	2.35	17.6	16.0	1.56
Richard Jefferson	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.54	-3	4	-7	16.2	13.8	2.42	17.7	14.6	3.04
Lucious Harris	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	1	-1	13.5	16.9	-3.43	16.7	17.3	-0.67
Anthony Johnson	8	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	16.1	15.8	0.35	18.9	17.0	1.91
Jason Collins	16	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	6	-11	18.8	15.1	3.69	18.2	16.8	1.40
Aaron Williams	33	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	0	1	14.6	16.5	-1.88	15.8	17.9	-2.18
Rodney Rogers	24	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	7	-13	14.1	16.4	-2.32	14.6	18.0	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 86, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,1	90.8%
UTA 85, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.72,0.55,0.73,1	90.3%
PHI 112, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.69,0.36,0.14,0.41,1	90.2%