NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +83.4%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	3.1 [685]		LVP	Jabari Smith (NJN): -54.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.00	0.15	-0.01	10	64%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Ira Newble	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	9	36%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.36	-0.09	-0.28	-0.01	18	50%	-0.06	4	-0.30	10	80%	-0.08

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.83	0.83	0.15	0.67	-0.01	20	74%	0.93	3	-0.10	17	94%	0.14
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kaniel Dickens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.14	0.02	18	61%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31,-0.31,-0.55	-0.55	-0.15	-0.40	0.00	6	6%	-0.31	1	-0.24	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.3	31.5	15.4	27.1	1.6	36.0	135.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.0%

NJN +16.4%

NJN +10.1%

CLE -17.8%

NJN +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.5	100.0	102.2	104.0
season	16.2	16.0		104.6	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.5	15.0	15.4	17.0	16.2
NJN	16.0	17.7	15.2	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	58	59	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-6	10	16.9	15.0	1.96	15.3	16.6	-1.34
DeSagana Diop	43	41	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.01	1	-3	4	15.7	16.7	-0.98	15.1	16.3	-1.23
Anderson Varejao	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-3	4	14.8	16.4	-1.62	19.1	15.4	3.72
Jeff McInnis	76	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-10	18	16.2	16.2	0.02	14.9	20.0	-5.15
Drew Gooden	68	69	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.49	11	-13	24	16.6	15.0	1.57	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Scott Williams	13	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	7	-16	14.5	16.5	-1.98	18.9	15.3	3.63
Eric Snow	16	18	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	9	-20	16.5	16.2	0.32	19.3	14.9	4.46
LeBron James	80	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	16.1	17.6	-1.54	15.6	17.7	-2.11
Lucious Harris	40	38	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	2	-6	15.4	16.9	-1.41	17.0	14.8	2.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	49	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.44	-8	6	-14	16.9	15.5	1.38	15.3	16.4	-1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	76	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.60	5	-3	8	15.6	16.9	-1.38	16.5	14.5	2.00
Richard Jefferson	88	89	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-2	6	16.0	5.5	10.50	16.2	23.0	-6.84
Nenad Krstic	61	62	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-2	6	15.2	16.9	-1.62	16.6	15.4	1.17
Jabari Smith	45	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	-5	12	16.4	15.1	1.36	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Jason Kidd	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	4	-6	15.2	16.9	-1.72	16.6	15.6	1.04
Jacque Vaughn	32	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	-2	6	16.9	15.2	1.72	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Jason Collins	54	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	8	-14	15.7	15.9	-0.20	16.3	16.2	0.10
Brian Scalabrine	20	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	16.0	15.7	0.36	16.1	16.3	-0.11
Kaniel Dickens	2	1	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.06	-2	4	-6	5.5	16.0	-10.50	23.0	16.2	6.84
Travis Best	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.18	0	2	-2	16.9	15.6	1.38	13.7	16.7	-2.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.62,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
MIN 91, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	90.0%
DET 74, IND 78	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.59,1	89.5%