NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	123		Excitement	10.2 [52]		MVP	Joe Harris (BKN): +35.1%
Brooklyn Nets	125		Comeback	2.8 [286]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (MIL): -11.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.34	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34	0.14	0.21	0.01	26	57%	0.36	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	5	90%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.01	16	61%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.13,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	20	54%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	7	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	12	77%	0.35	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,-0.02,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.29	0.01	21	59%	0.42	3	-0.08	9	89%	-0.04
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	25	61%	0.35	6	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	6	117%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.01	6	100%	0.22	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.8	27.5	16.5	31.4	3.4	30.6	136.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +87.2%

MIL -11.3%

BKN +2.8%

MIL -32.7%

BKN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BKN	NBA	MIL	BKN	NBA
this game	12.8	14.1	14.4	115.0	116.8	111.3
season	13.5	14.1		114.8	116.6
opponent	14.6	14.7		111.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.8	13.3	12.9	12.3	12.8
BKN	12.9	13.9	14.3	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	38	38	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.03	11	-13	24	12.8	12.8	0.05	14.8	13.7	1.06
Bobby Portis	32	33	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-12	22	12.9	12.8	0.13	13.5	14.4	-0.89
D.J. Augustin	42	43	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-10	18	13.5	12.4	1.05	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Jrue Holiday	82	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-5	8	12.4	14.0	-1.60	14.2	13.8	0.41
Bryn Forbes	24	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	9	-20	13.0	12.8	0.24	14.8	13.9	0.84
Khris Middleton	80	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	12.7	13.1	-0.45	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Brook Lopez	75	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.37	-12	10	-22	12.8	12.9	-0.13	14.4	13.5	0.89
Donte DiVincenzo	71	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	10	-22	12.8	12.9	-0.07	14.2	13.8	0.41
Giannis Antetokounmpo	91	88	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.48	-12	10	-22	12.9	12.2	0.66	14.0	14.6	-0.58

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	82	83	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-7	16	14.4	13.2	1.23	12.9	12.6	0.24
DeAndre Jordan	84	85	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-3	8	14.1	14.0	0.19	12.8	12.9	-0.12
James Harden	92	92	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.39	5	-3	8	13.9	15.3	-1.35	13.0	11.8	1.18
Joe Harris	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	-3	8	14.0	14.3	-0.28	12.6	13.6	-1.03
Kevin Durant	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	2	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.59	12.6	13.3	-0.64
Bruce Brown	47	46	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	4	-6	14.9	13.5	1.45	12.8	12.8	0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	5	-8	14.2	14.1	0.11	13.3	12.7	0.66
Reggie Perry	23	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	6	-10	12.5	14.5	-2.01	12.3	12.9	-0.62
Landry Shamet	25	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	7	-12	14.3	14.0	0.23	13.4	12.6	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.76,0.39,0.31,0.72,0.57,0.57,1	90.9%
PHI 127, ATL 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.31,0.72,1	90.5%
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	90.4%