NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (POR): +29.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	5.8 [385]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -40.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	16	68%	0.22	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.4	-0.09	-0.30	0.01	23	45%	-0.11	5	-0.29	12	92%	0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.01	14	64%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	23	62%	0.25	3	-0.09	12	100%	0.10
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.01	13	12%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.2	14.8	25.6	1.8	41.4	137.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.2%

ATL -3.3%

POR +11.5%

POR +25.4%

ATL -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	13.2	14.6	14.4	103.9	106.7	111.3
season	14.7	14.9		112.8	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.1	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.6	15.6	13.0	12.6	13.2
POR	16.5	14.4	13.6	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Goodwin	30	31	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.10	13	-19	32	13.9	12.9	0.98	14.7	14.6	0.12
Rajon Rondo	18	17	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-11	16	17.5	12.2	5.25	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Tony Snell	24	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-9	12	15.0	12.6	2.33	15.6	14.3	1.22
Kevin Huerter	77	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	1	-8	12.8	14.3	-1.51	14.4	15.5	-1.08
John Collins	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	0	-6	12.5	14.5	-2.02	14.7	14.4	0.30
Clint Capela	80	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-6	6	12.7	15.0	-2.32	14.3	15.9	-1.64
Trae Young	84	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	5	-16	12.2	17.5	-5.25	14.6	14.5	0.12
Solomon Hill	51	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	8	-22	14.1	12.2	1.92	15.1	14.1	1.00
De'Andre Hunter	77	79	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.25	-13	7	-20	13.2	13.1	0.07	14.5	15.0	-0.49

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	95	92	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.21	18	-12	30	14.5	15.6	-1.07	12.8	16.9	-4.13
Enes Kanter	67	64	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-10	26	13.9	15.9	-1.98	12.2	14.8	-2.53
Derrick Jones Jr.	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-9	24	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.7	14.6	-1.98
Gary Trent Jr.	58	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	7	-8	14.2	15.1	-0.87	13.5	12.8	0.69
Carmelo Anthony	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.41	-3	9	-12	15.0	14.2	0.79	13.6	12.5	1.11
Harry Giles III	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	9	-12	15.3	14.4	0.85	14.1	12.9	1.18
Anfernee Simons	18	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	5	-4	14.6	14.6	-0.02	13.1	13.2	-0.15
Rodney Hood	26	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	13	-20	15.7	14.3	1.46	15.5	12.4	3.05
Robert Covington	61	60	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	6	-6	14.5	14.8	-0.25	13.1	13.3	-0.27
CJ McCollum	39	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	12	-18	15.5	14.1	1.33	13.7	12.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	93.6%
ATL 85, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.72,0.86,0.97,0.97,1,1	92.3%
MIA 73, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	91.8%