inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 73 Excitement6.3 [565] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +15.8%
Detroit Pistons 82 Comeback5.8 [413] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -31.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.160,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.08-0.002159%0.202-0.04475%-0.01
James Posey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01275%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.01642%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01743%0.003-0.0900%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.060.021450%0.013-0.12250%-0.02
Gary Payton-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00520%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.310,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.17-0.120.021534%-0.195-0.12875%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.07-0.001553%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.080.011455%0.131-0.023100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.000.090.00945%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00460%0.0500.002100%0.02
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.020.051655%0.074-0.091292%0.03
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.0160%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.08-0.011227%-0.1500.0020%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.72.829.117.730.12.836.3144.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +9.0%
DET +10.1%
MIA -0.6%
DET +32.1%
MIA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADETNBAMIADETNBA
this game16.516.815.684.994.3104.4
season15.516.9106.1108.3
opponent15.815.5101.4102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.015.419.016.916.5
DET17.716.615.317.416.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning660.13-0.630.76-0.056-152117.216.50.6820.716.54.20
Michael Doleac110.03-0.530.560.030-9914.016.6-2.5621.016.74.29
James Posey40410.02-0.520.550.11-3-6316.017.0-0.9117.116.40.73
Udonis Haslem6162-0.20-0.300.09-0.09-4-5117.015.41.6616.517.5-1.01
Gary Payton5153-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-6316.217.1-0.8816.716.9-0.20
Jason Williams5758-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-8715.618.4-2.8317.415.61.81
Shandon Anderson1513-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-90-918.716.12.5818.516.52.00
Antoine Walker5051-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-6316.217.0-0.8516.716.9-0.22
Dwyane Wade7272-0.590.09-0.67-0.21-134-1717.014.12.9416.219.3-3.03
Shaquille O'Neal7778-0.610.11-0.73-0.17-156-2116.715.11.5916.320.8-4.48

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton63600.68-0.180.860.2714-51916.417.7-1.2517.214.92.31
Tayshaun Prince76750.65-0.150.810.2414-51916.319.6-3.2916.815.01.76
Rasheed Wallace75750.470.030.450.1212-31516.220.1-3.8616.615.90.72
Lindsey Hunter15160.280.220.050.2518-717.516.60.8616.116.6-0.50
Antonio McDyess39390.260.240.010.34-312-1517.716.01.7416.416.6-0.23
Ben Wallace59560.250.250.01-0.0190916.816.70.0116.716.10.62
Chauncey Billups72710.240.26-0.020.0081716.617.5-0.8616.516.9-0.48
Tony Delk1920-0.040.54-0.58-0.0409-918.916.12.8014.617.1-2.46
Maurice Evans1718-0.290.79-1.070.01-1019-2917.616.61.0315.316.9-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 98, PHX 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,192.9%
POR 89, UTA 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.91,192.6%
TOR 120, CHI 1290.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,192.2%