NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	7.5 [262]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +10.7%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	4.7 [216]		LVP	Josh Howard (UTA): -22.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	9	75%	0.30	3	-0.20	2	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.04	-0.00	20	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	9	38%	-0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	15	50%	0.14	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	12	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	8	17%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	15	34%	-0.12	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	31.0	15.5	24.3	1.8	33.1	131.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -16.5%

UTA +6.6%

UTA +44.7%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	98.9	102.2	102.8
season	15.7	15.8		104.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	16.2	17.1	15.5	16.2
UTA	15.4	16.5	15.6	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	18	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-6	8	13.6	16.8	-3.21	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Wesley Matthews	46	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-10	16	16.7	15.6	1.10	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Elliot Williams	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	7.0	16.3	-9.28	0.0	15.6	-15.65
Kurt Thomas	31	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-4	4	15.2	16.7	-1.45	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Jamal Crawford	47	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-6	8	14.1	18.4	-4.34	16.2	15.1	1.06
Marcus Camby	48	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-4	4	16.9	15.3	1.58	15.9	15.3	0.60
Raymond Felton	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	17.7	13.9	3.72	15.6	15.7	-0.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	3	-10	16.9	13.5	3.38	16.0	14.2	1.88
Gerald Wallace	76	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	16.1	16.8	-0.72	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Nicolas Batum	59	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	7	-18	16.1	16.3	-0.12	15.7	15.6	0.08

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	73	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-4	12	15.5	16.4	-0.92	16.4	15.5	0.89
CJ Miles	46	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-2	8	15.3	16.0	-0.61	15.6	16.9	-1.27
Josh Howard	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	15.9	14.7	1.21	17.0	13.7	3.24
Enes Kanter	41	41	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	3	-2	15.6	15.7	-0.07	15.4	16.8	-1.45
Earl Watson	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-1	6	15.7	15.6	0.04	15.9	16.5	-0.65
Gordon Hayward	53	53	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	2	0	15.4	16.0	-0.56	16.0	16.4	-0.34
Devin Harris	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	3	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.60	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Derrick Favors	49	46	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	15.9	15.3	0.63	17.6	14.7	2.84
Jeremy Evans	18	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	8	-12	16.4	15.5	0.92	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Alec Burks	13	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	10	-16	16.2	15.6	0.59	13.9	16.5	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.95,0.93,0.83,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.6%
TOR 120, CHI 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.5%
MIA 87, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.84,1	92.4%