NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	118		Excitement	7.2 [371]		MVP	Grayson Allen (MEM): +18.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	11.0 [93]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): -17.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	-0.00	10	80%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	12	62%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.03	19	60%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	8	39%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	0.01	15	30%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	23	57%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.01	17	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	21	54%	0.08	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	27.3	15.5	25.2	2.7	35.6	133.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.9%

MIN -8.2%

MEM +7.3%

MEM +10.5%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.9	14.4	114.6	104.9	111.3
season	14.0	14.1		111.2	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.9	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.7	15.2	16.1	12.1	14.2
MIN	13.0	13.0	13.3	16.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	24	24	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-3	17	14.4	14.2	0.22	15.2	13.5	1.78
Grayson Allen	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-5	21	13.3	15.3	-2.07	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Dillon Brooks	61	58	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	8	-5	14.7	13.5	1.19	13.7	14.1	-0.43
De'Anthony Melton	51	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	4	3	13.6	14.8	-1.14	14.7	13.0	1.71
Jonas Valanciunas	66	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	7	-3	15.0	12.8	2.13	13.6	14.4	-0.84
Xavier Tillman	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	4	3	12.8	15.0	-2.13	14.4	13.6	0.84
Kyle Anderson	53	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	14.5	13.9	0.63	13.6	14.2	-0.53
Brandon Clarke	72	70	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	12	-13	15.0	12.5	2.51	13.6	14.5	-0.89
Tyus Jones	60	58	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.11	-1	12	-13	15.0	13.0	2.03	13.0	15.0	-1.99
Desmond Bane	34	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	8	-5	12.1	15.3	-3.20	14.6	13.5	1.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juancho Hernangomez	63	60	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-18	25	13.5	14.6	-1.13	14.7	13.5	1.19
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	74	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-16	21	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.6	13.2	1.44
Anthony Edwards	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-8	5	15.1	13.3	1.82	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Jarrett Culver	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-5	-1	14.7	13.7	1.04	17.6	13.4	4.20
Josh Okogie	58	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-11	11	13.6	14.3	-0.79	14.3	14.0	0.28
Malik Beasley	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-10	9	13.1	15.9	-2.76	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Ricky Rubio	50	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	5	-21	14.3	13.5	0.84	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Jarred Vanderbilt	30	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	3	-17	15.0	13.4	1.52	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Naz Reid	30	29	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	5	-21	14.0	13.8	0.20	13.2	14.6	-1.44
D'Angelo Russell	79	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	0	-11	13.8	14.3	-0.48	13.8	15.7	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.5%
SAS 92, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.61,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.7%
SAS 108, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	91.6%