NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	92		Excitement	5.7 [707]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +9.5%
Boston Celtics	84		Comeback	8.7 [76]		LVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): -17.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	13	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	13	77%	0.01
Robert Horry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	11	81%	0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Mike Wilks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	76%	0.18	3	-0.11	9	89%	0.04
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	4	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	12	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	14	53%	0.06	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	9	37%	-0.07	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	32.2	15.7	23.2	2.3	37.4	135.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.6%

BOS -11.0%

SAS +3.0%

SAS +19.3%

BOS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BOS	NBA	SAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.5	103.4	94.4	104.0
season	16.3	14.4		105.8	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		104.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	17.0	13.8	14.2	15.4
BOS	17.3	17.2	17.5	15.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	38	38	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.37	19	-11	30	13.4	16.9	-3.55	17.4	16.5	0.90
Tony Parker	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	16.2	12.9	3.36	16.6	18.1	-1.54
Bruce Bowen	55	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	15.8	14.9	0.93	15.7	18.7	-3.03
Manu Ginobili	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	-3	14	15.3	15.6	-0.31	16.7	17.4	-0.73
Robert Horry	21	21	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	3	2	12.9	16.2	-3.30	18.8	16.4	2.39
Brent Barry	32	33	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	15.1	15.6	-0.47	18.5	16.0	2.47
Tim Duncan	67	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	5	-2	16.1	13.4	2.68	16.3	18.7	-2.32
Beno Udrih	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	4	0	11.5	16.5	-4.96	19.2	16.3	2.92
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	25.5	15.2	10.30	7.0	17.2	-10.16
Devin Brown	37	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	15	-22	15.0	15.7	-0.78	17.4	16.6	0.80
Tony Massenburg	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	11	-14	17.9	15.2	2.69	22.0	16.4	5.64
Rasho Nesterovic	43	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	14	-20	17.3	13.7	3.58	15.7	18.1	-2.34

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	4	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	14.5	17.0	-2.55	19.0	15.3	3.70
Tony Allen	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-9	10	16.1	17.1	-0.96	16.0	15.3	0.68
Mark Blount	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-9	10	16.9	17.0	-0.04	16.4	13.3	3.07
Ricky Davis	65	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-8	8	16.3	18.5	-2.20	16.2	13.5	2.65
Raef LaFrentz	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	1	-10	16.4	17.6	-1.17	16.6	14.2	2.36
Gary Payton	75	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	17.0	16.6	0.43	15.6	14.5	1.13
Marcus Banks	15	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	15.8	17.2	-1.36	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Al Jefferson	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-10	12	17.6	16.4	1.21	14.2	16.6	-2.36
Jiri Welsch	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	2	-12	17.9	16.4	1.54	13.2	16.7	-3.45
Paul Pierce	68	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	3	-14	17.1	16.3	0.78	15.5	15.1	0.48
Tom Gugliotta	20	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	6	-20	18.3	16.5	1.83	13.2	16.1	-2.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.61,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.17,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
SAS 108, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	92.7%
DAL 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.6%