NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	112		Excitement	6.3 [595]		MVP	Nicolas Brussino (DAL): +22.6%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	7.2 [85]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -16.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Brussino	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	0.01	5	110%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	10	73%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	16	65%	0.16	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Salah Mejri	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.03	8	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.18	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	20	57%	0.14	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.07
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.10	0.10	20	57%	-0.04	3	-0.12	6	67%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.5	15.5	24.3	2.5	42.5	140.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.6%

DAL +5.7%

WAS -4.1%

DAL +14.6%

DAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	NBA	DAL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	14.8	115.5	109.2	107.7
season	16.2	14.4		104.4	109.9
opponent	14.9	14.7		108.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.5	17.0	17.2	14.2	15.9
WAS	15.8	14.3	14.1	11.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Brussino	47	48	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.35	12	-7	19	16.0	15.8	0.18	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Yogi Ferrell	49	52	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-6	17	16.3	15.5	0.81	13.1	14.3	-1.25
Seth Curry	65	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-7	19	16.3	15.1	1.21	13.8	13.3	0.54
Dirk Nowitzki	66	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	1	3	16.6	14.5	2.04	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Harrison Barnes	78	81	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	2	1	15.9	15.8	0.08	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Nerlens Noel	45	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	-2	9	15.9	15.9	0.05	14.0	13.3	0.74
Salah Mejri	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	2	1	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.0	13.5	1.55
Devin Harris	43	42	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	15	-25	14.1	17.3	-3.22	12.0	14.9	-2.83
J.J. Barea	42	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	11	-17	15.4	16.3	-0.93	14.5	13.0	1.53
Dorian Finney-Smith	38	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	16	-27	16.3	15.6	0.67	14.7	12.9	1.74

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.7	12.7	2.07	17.4	14.5	2.86
Otto Porter Jr.	76	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-12	19	13.6	14.0	-0.40	16.2	15.0	1.19
John Wall	74	73	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-10	15	13.2	14.9	-1.63	16.2	15.2	0.98
Jason Smith	16	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	3	-11	12.2	13.9	-1.66	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Markieff Morris	62	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-9	13	13.8	13.4	0.45	16.3	15.2	1.08
Tomas Satoransky	13	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	4	-13	15.2	13.4	1.74	15.2	16.0	-0.87
Brandon Jennings	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	2	-9	13.8	13.6	0.26	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Bradley Beal	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-6	7	13.7	13.5	0.24	16.0	15.7	0.29
Ian Mahinmi	40	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	8	-21	14.3	13.2	1.07	14.8	16.6	-1.88
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	1	-7	12.6	14.9	-2.34	14.8	17.2	-2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.17,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
SAS 108, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.2%
CLE 101, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0	92.8%