NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	6.1 [568]		MVP	Mark West (CLE): +16.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Comeback	5.1 [155]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -15.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark West	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	-0.00	8	87%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	14	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	17	52%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Danny Ferry	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.06	0.00	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.04	15	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	11	68%	0.07	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.06
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	13	56%	-0.06	2	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	27.3	15.7	23.2	1.4	37.4	128.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +56.3%

MIN -19.9%

MIN -6.6%

CLE +21.1%

MIN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	18.7	17.3	15.6	126.2	116.3	104.4
season	17.8	15.5		102.1	103.3
opponent	15.5	16.1		105.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.4	18.2	22.1	16.1	18.7
MIN	20.6	16.1	17.9	15.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	73	72	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	19.0	16.3	2.69	16.6	22.9	-6.24
Chris Mills	74	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	18.8	18.2	0.62	17.1	19.0	-1.88
Tyrone Hill	67	67	0.56	-0.05	0.62	0.33	8	0	8	18.8	18.5	0.33	17.1	18.2	-1.06
Terrell Brandon	66	67	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	1	6	18.2	21.3	-3.09	17.1	18.2	-1.16
Danny Ferry	33	37	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	2	4	20.5	17.5	3.08	18.4	16.3	2.13
Bob Sura	45	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.6	21.4	-4.78	15.9	18.8	-2.88
Mark West	28	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	5	-2	19.4	18.4	0.95	19.5	16.1	3.41
Vitaly Potapenko	6	5	-0.05	0.56	-0.61	0.04	-3	11	-14	21.0	18.6	2.45	19.8	17.1	2.71
Antonio Lang	8	8	-0.10	0.61	-0.71	0.02	-4	12	-16	20.6	18.5	2.10	19.9	17.0	2.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	9	9	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-11	14	12.0	17.9	-5.93	18.0	18.8	-0.83
Stojko Vrankovic	37	36	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.01	0	-8	8	20.4	14.6	5.75	20.9	17.0	3.96
Stephon Marbury	57	60	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	-0.20	2	-10	12	16.5	19.0	-2.50	18.7	18.9	-0.28
Doug West	62	62	-0.16	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-7	6	16.8	18.8	-2.03	18.5	19.7	-1.20
Dean Garrett	17	16	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	17.4	17.2	0.11	18.6	18.8	-0.22
Kevin Garnett	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.22	-2	-6	4	17.0	18.5	-1.48	18.6	19.2	-0.57
Tom Gugliotta	65	65	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-5	2	17.0	18.2	-1.15	19.1	17.0	2.14
Chris Carr	18	18	-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	18.8	16.8	2.03	19.7	18.5	1.20
Terry Porter	24	22	-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	2	-12	18.5	16.7	1.77	18.1	19.0	-0.83
Sam Mitchell	46	47	-0.81	0.30	-1.11	-0.28	-18	10	-28	16.7	18.0	-1.28	17.2	20.9	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
DET 107, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.09,0.01,0	93.4%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	93.3%