inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 108 Excitement6.7 [474] MVPJason Richardson (GSW): +13.3%
Golden State Warriors 99 Comeback6.1 [335] LVPGilbert Arenas (GSW): -17.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.03-0.011071%0.161-0.05875%0.02
Cherokee Parks0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephen Jackson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00467%0.062-0.0610%-0.01
Terry Porter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.02-0.02850%0.053-0.06475%-0.00
Charles Smith-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00837%-0.0300.0000%0.00
David Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.020.011055%-0.0300.00967%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.010.032458%0.084-0.131486%0.01
Steven Smith-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.001040%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.0120%-0.032-0.0700%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.130.130.100.03-0.011965%0.172-0.03560%-0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00654%0.0400.001100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01-0.022151%0.041-0.039100%0.06
Dean Oliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00420%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.050.00333%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.03-0.0230%-0.072-0.0300%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.050.041059%-0.052-0.06967%-0.01
Danny Fortson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.05-0.060.02669%0.035-0.161100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.08-0.00840%-0.083-0.104100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.430.615.727.22.534.4137.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +47.4%
GSW -7.9%
GSW -0.4%
SAS +11.7%
GSW -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game15.814.915.6114.9105.3102.3
season15.814.7104.3100.7
opponent15.115.7106.298.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.715.316.214.015.8
GSW12.816.714.515.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Ferry39390.73-0.230.960.2616-72314.017.1-3.0815.314.50.76
Cherokee Parks19190.71-0.210.910.3512-31515.115.9-0.8413.915.1-1.21
Antonio Daniels65650.65-0.150.800.2414-51915.217.0-1.8215.513.42.09
Terry Porter56540.62-0.120.740.2413-41714.817.2-2.3614.715.1-0.41
Tim Duncan83830.500.000.500.2781716.311.54.8914.219.9-5.72
Stephen Jackson010.010.49-0.480.0109-90.015.8-15.782.015.0-13.00
Malik Rose3028-0.060.56-0.62-0.0609-914.016.6-2.6615.514.60.91
Charles Smith4243-0.100.60-0.70-0.1009-916.315.31.0114.814.9-0.09
Tony Parker3434-0.150.65-0.790.00-514-1917.115.02.1514.515.1-0.61
David Robinson5355-0.160.66-0.81-0.07-312-1516.914.32.6816.312.83.58
Steven Smith4949-0.260.76-1.010.04-1019-2916.814.72.0413.915.9-2.01

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dean Oliver1211-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-8715.714.71.0212.116.3-4.17
Erick Dampier4544-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-9913.915.8-1.9116.615.11.49
Danny Fortson6264-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-101113.717.1-3.3417.212.74.52
Jason Richardson7376-0.14-0.360.21-0.12-1-8714.017.9-3.8615.915.20.69
Gilbert Arenas4951-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.03-8-1-714.814.9-0.0915.316.4-1.14
Chris Mills3331-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-90-917.113.73.4413.117.1-3.95
Antawn Jamison7374-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.23-3-6313.619.1-5.5115.915.40.48
Adonal Foyle4241-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-6-3-316.513.62.9216.215.50.74
Bob Sura5250-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.18-7-2-515.514.11.3916.015.60.39
Troy Murphy2928-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-112-1317.813.54.2915.016.1-1.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 115, DEN 1060.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.12,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.05,093.2%
DAL 112, WAS 1070.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,093.2%
GSW 99, MIN 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,093.0%